Twins vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 12, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (34-32) hope to break their four-game losing run against the Minnesota Twins (33-33), at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Twins are favored (-130 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Brewers (+111). The game’s over/under is 7.5.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of June 13, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -130 +111 7.5

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 37 times this season and won 24, or 64.9%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 17-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
  • Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 27 of 66 chances this season.
  • The Twins are 31-35-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 11
ERA 3.83
K/9 7.6

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have come away with 15 wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Milwaukee has won 10 of 21 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 27 of its 66 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 66 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 29-37-0 against the spread.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 10
ERA 3.77
K/9 9.5

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

  • When Lopez starts, his team is 4-9-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in seven innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Lopez has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has made 13 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Lopez’s team is 7-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Lopez’s team has won seven of his 13 starts.
  • In Lopez’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 29 28 31 3.54 7 0
Jorge López 26 25 22 4.32 6 3
Jovani Moran 23 27 30 3.67 7 0
Jhoan Duran 23 25 34 1.44 0 8
Emilio Pagán 22 27.1 25 4.61 0 0

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes (5-4) takes the mound first for the Brewers in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.36 ERA in 77 2/3 innings pitched, with 75 strikeouts.
  • His last time out was on Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when the righty went eight scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
  • Burnes will aim to go five or more innings for his 12th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
  • He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Brewers were the moneyline underdog for one Burnes start this season — they lost.
  • Over Burnes’ 13 starts, his team is 7-6.
  • Burnes has had 13 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those matchups.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Peter Strzelecki 29 29.2 31 5.16 14 0
Joel Payamps 27 30.1 33 2.67 9 1
Hoby Milner 26 24 21 3.38 4 0
Bryse Wilson 21 34 27 2.91 2 3
Devin Williams 20 21.2 30 0.42 0 10

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 29-6 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
  • Minnesota is 21-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 34-9 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
  • Minnesota is 35-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Twins are 15-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 29 of the 34 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in five games this season and won each of them.
  • In 34 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 26-8.
  • Milwaukee has a 33-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-7

Twins vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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