The New York Mets (31-35) and New York Yankees (38-29) square off in the first of a two-game series on Tuesday at Citi Field, at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are coming off a series defeat to the Pirates, and the Yankees a series loss to the Red Sox.
The Yankees are an underdog (+143 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Mets (-172). The matchup has an over/under set at 7 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of June 13, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -172 | +143 | 7 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 25, or 53.2%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- The Mets have a record of 7-9, a 43.8% win rate, when they’re favored by -172 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 63.2%.
- The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 67 games with a total this season.
- In 67 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 25-42-0 ATS.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.13 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been underdogs in 20 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (45%) in those contests.
- This year, the Yankees have won three of five games when listed as at least +143 or better on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 41.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 29 of their 67 games with a total this season.
- The Yankees are 37-30-0 against the spread in their 67 games that had a posted line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.70 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer’s team is 6-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
- Scherzer will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 10 chances this season.
- When Scherzer starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-2.
- Scherzer’s team has won seven of his 10 starts this season.
- Games Scherzer has started this season hit the over six times in 10 chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 28 | 25.2 | 25 | 4.21 | 7 | 5 |
| Drew Smith | 26 | 23.2 | 28 | 4.18 | 8 | 2 |
| Brooks Raley | 26 | 22.1 | 25 | 2.82 | 13 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 25 | 28.1 | 37 | 1.91 | 6 | 10 |
| Jeff Brigham | 22 | 23.1 | 27 | 3.86 | 5 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- Severino makes the start for the Yankees, his fifth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 5.75 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 20 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance came on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, when he tossed five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Severino heads into the game with two outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- The Yankees were the moneyline underdog for one Severino start this season — they lost.
- Over Severino’s four starts, his team is 2-2.
- Severino’s starts went over the run total two times in four games with a set total this season.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 29 | 27 | 24 | 2.67 | 7 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 28 | 28.1 | 34 | 1.91 | 3 | 8 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 25 | 30.1 | 38 | 3.56 | 6 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 23 | 26.2 | 30 | 3.04 | 5 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 23 | 30 | 30 | 3.60 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 9-11 this season in games when they crush two or more home runs.
- The Mets have racked up five or more extra-base hits in nine games this season, and went 5-4 in those outings.
- The team is 24-13 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- The Mets are 25-11 in the games this season that they scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 7-6 in the 13 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 32-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- They’ve won eight of their 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 31-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 38 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 28-10.
- They have won 12 of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (+143)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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