The Chicago Cubs (28-37) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-30) to open a three-game series at Wrigley Field, with first pitch at 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday. The Cubs are coming off a series victory over the Giants, and the Pirates a series win over the Mets.
The Pirates (+110 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Cubs (-129). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of June 13, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -129 | +110 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- This season, the Cubs have won 13 out of the 28 games, or 46.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Chicago has entered 14 games this season favored by -129 or more and is 7-7 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- Games involving Chicago has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 31 of 65 chances this season.
- The Cubs are 32-33-0 against the spread in their 65 chances this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.29 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 22, or 47.8%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 19-19 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 31 of its 64 opportunities.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 33-31-0 in 64 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon
- Taillon’s team is 2-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
- Taillon has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 10 chances this season.
- Taillon has started five games with his team as the moneyline favorite, and has been upset each time.
- In games Taillon has started, his team is 1-9.
- Out of Taillon’s 10 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 26 | 27.1 | 31 | 5.93 | 3 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 26 | 27.1 | 37 | 3.62 | 1 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 24 | 25.2 | 40 | 3.16 | 10 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 22 | 30 | 30 | 2.10 | 7 | 3 |
| Michael Rucker | 20 | 25.1 | 29 | 4.97 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz
- Ortiz (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Pirates in his sixth start of the season. He has a 4.23 ERA in 27 2/3 innings pitched, with 16 strikeouts.
- His most recent time out was out of the bullpen on Wednesday when the righty threw five innings against the Oakland Athletics, surrendering two earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
- Ortiz enters the game with four outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He allowed at least one earned run in each of his outings in 2023.
- The Pirates are 2-2 in Ortiz’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Ortiz’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- Ortiz’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 27 | 29.1 | 41 | 1.84 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 25 | 25.1 | 31 | 1.78 | 0 | 14 |
| Colin Holderman | 24 | 24 | 27 | 3.00 | 12 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 22 | 25.2 | 25 | 2.10 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have a 12-11 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Chicago has gone 9-2 in its 11 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 29-14 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Chicago is 21-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cubs are 11-14 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 18 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has won 15 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 24 of the 32 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 21-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 20 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-8
Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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