The Boston Red Sox (33-33) host the Colorado Rockies (27-40) to start a three-game series at Fenway Park, with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET on Monday. The Red Sox are coming off a series victory over the Yankees, and the Rockies a series loss to the Padres.
The favored Red Sox (-230 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Rockies (+192). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of June 12, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -230 | +192 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 26 times this season and won 15, or 57.7%, of those games.
- Boston has not been bigger favorites this season than the -230 moneyline set for this game.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 69.7% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 66 games with a total this season.
- The Red Sox have an ATS record of 32-34-0 in 66 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have come away with 24 wins in the 58 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Colorado has been a moneyline underdog of -230 or longer nine times, losing every contest.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 34.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of its 67 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rockies have an against the spread record of 32-35-0 in 67 games with a line this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- Paxton and his team are 1-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
- Paxton will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Paxton’s team has a record of 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Paxton’s team has won two of his five starts this season.
- Games started by Paxton have a 3-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 21 | 37 | 27 | 2.19 | 8 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 21 | 21.2 | 25 | 3.32 | 0 | 14 |
| Chris Martin | 20 | 19.2 | 16 | 2.29 | 12 | 1 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 15 | 19 | 17 | 2.84 | 0 | 0 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Connor Seabold
- Seabold (1-2 with a 5.10 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 47 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rockies, his eighth of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Thursday against the San Francisco Giants, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up two hits.
- Seabold is aiming for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.4 frames per start.
- He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Rockies have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Seabold’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those games.
- Seabold’s team has compiled a 3-4 record over his seven starts.
- Seabold’s starts hit the over on the run total four times in seven games with a set total this season.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lawrence | 29 | 36.1 | 38 | 3.22 | 7 | 2 |
| Jake Bird | 29 | 42 | 45 | 3.43 | 4 | 0 |
| Brad Hand | 27 | 24.2 | 33 | 3.65 | 2 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 26 | 37.2 | 31 | 1.91 | 2 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | 26 | 25 | 34 | 7.20 | 0 | 11 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox are 14-8 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
- Boston has collected five or more extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 11-8 in those contests.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 45 games this season, and is 25-20 in those contests.
- Boston has a 27-8 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Red Sox have gone 10-9 over the 19 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 11 games this season and are 9-2 in those matchups.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-9.
- They have won 23 of the 48 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Colorado has a 22-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 6-3
Red Sox vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-230)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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