The Boston Red Sox (32-33) will look for another strong showing from a hitter on a roll versus the New York Yankees (38-28) on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET, at Yankee Stadium. Rafael Devers is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Yankees are projected as a tight favorite (-117 to win on the moneyline) against the Red Sox (-103). The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 11, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -117 | -103 | 8.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won 29, or 63%, of the 46 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- New York has a record of 26-16, a 61.9% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 29 of 66 chances this season.
- The Yankees are 36-30-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 2.73 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (42.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 16 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 37 of 65 chances this season.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 32-33-0 in 65 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt’s team is 5-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Schmidt has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- Schmidt’s team has won 37.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-5).
- Schmidt’s team has a 4-9 record in his starts this season.
- Games Schmidt has started this season hit the over four times in 13 chances.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 28 | 26.2 | 24 | 2.70 | 7 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 27 | 27.1 | 34 | 1.98 | 3 | 8 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 24 | 29.1 | 38 | 3.68 | 6 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 23 | 26.2 | 30 | 3.04 | 5 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 23 | 30 | 30 | 3.60 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello makes the start for the Red Sox, his 10th of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 45 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he threw six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Bello has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season entering this game.
- He has not made an appearance so far in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Red Sox have a 3-2 record in Bello’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Bello’s team has a 5-4 record in his starts this season.
- Bello’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of nine contests.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 21 | 37 | 27 | 2.19 | 8 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 20 | 20.2 | 24 | 3.48 | 0 | 14 |
| Chris Martin | 19 | 18.2 | 14 | 2.41 | 12 | 0 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 15 | 19 | 17 | 2.84 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have a 32-11 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- New York is 8-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 31-14 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- New York is 28-10 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 12-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 14-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has won 11 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 25-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has won 27 of its 35 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-9
Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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