Rays vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 10, 2023

Shane McClanahan’s Tampa Bay Rays (47-20) take on the Texas Rangers (41-22) on Sunday at Tropicana Field, as he looks to pick up his 10th win of the campaign. It starts at 1:40 PM ET.

The favored Rays (-188 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Rangers (+158). The game’s over/under is 8.5.

The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 11, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -188 +158 8.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 43, or 72.9%, of the 59 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season Tampa Bay has won 15 of its 16 games, or 93.8%, when favored by at least -188 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of 67 opportunities.
  • In 67 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 41-26-0 ATS.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 10
ERA 2.83
K/9 9.6

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 15, or 60%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has been listed as an underdog of +158 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 38.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 36 of its 63 opportunities.
  • The Rangers are 41-22-0 against the spread in their 63 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 13
ERA 3.68
K/9 9.5

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Rays Probable Pitcher – McClanahan

  • When McClanahan starts, his team is 9-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in six innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox on Monday.
  • McClanahan has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • In 13 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
  • McClanahan’s team has been victorious in 84.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-2.
  • In games McClanahan has started, his team is 11-2.
  • In games McClanahan has started this season, the teams are 7-5-1 at hitting the over.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 27 27.1 36 2.96 6 9
Colin Poche 26 23.2 16 2.28 10 1
Jake Diekman 25 21 20 6.00 6 0
Kevin Kelly 24 28 24 3.86 8 2
Robert Stephenson 20 16.1 20 4.41 8 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Martin Perez

  • Perez gets the start for the Rangers, his 13th of the season. He is 6-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 68 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the lefty went seven innings, surrendering no earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • Perez has 10 starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 12 outings this season.
  • The Rangers have been the moneyline underdog in five of Pérez’s starts this season, and they went 4-1 in those matchups.
  • In Pérez’s 12 starts, his team is 9-3.
  • Perez has started 12 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Will Smith 22 23 27 2.74 4 11
Brock Burke 19 24.1 19 2.96 7 0
José Leclerc 18 18.1 20 2.95 1 1
Josh Sborz 16 22.1 32 3.63 5 0
Cole Ragans 15 22.2 23 5.16 3 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have hit two or more homers in 37 games this season, and are 28-9 in those outings.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 20-2 in its 22 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 35-19 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
  • Tampa Bay has a 36-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 19 games this season, and are 16-3 in those contests.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They are 24-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-9.
  • They have a record of 43-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Texas has won 39 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-10

Rays vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-188)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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