The Chicago White Sox (29-37) and Miami Marlins (36-29) play a rubber match on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The White Sox are a tight favorite (-115 on the moneyline) when they take the field against the Marlins (-104). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 11, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
White Sox vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox | -115 | -104 | 8 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have been favorites in 29 games this season and won 17 (58.6%) of those contests.
- Chicago has a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the White Sox.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of 66 opportunities.
- The White Sox have an ATS record of 31-35-0 in 66 games with a spread this season.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 18 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Miami has been victorious 15 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 28 of its 65 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 31-34-0 against the spread in their 65 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 11.1 |
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White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito
- Giolito and his team have a record of 7-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a hit in six scoreless innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Tuesday.
- Giolito has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 13 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Giolito starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-2.
- Giolito’s team has won five of his 13 starts this season.
- Games started by Giolito have a 5-8-0 record at hitting the over this season.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | 27 | 27.2 | 26 | 2.28 | 8 | 6 |
| Reynaldo López | 27 | 28.1 | 36 | 4.76 | 8 | 4 |
| Gregory Santos | 25 | 32.1 | 29 | 1.95 | 2 | 0 |
| Aaron Bummer | 23 | 20 | 22 | 7.20 | 6 | 0 |
| Keynan Middleton | 22 | 21.1 | 28 | 1.27 | 2 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett gets the start for the Marlins, his 11th of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.47 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 58 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Monday, the lefty threw five innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Garrett will try to build on a seven-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.8 innings per appearance).
- He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in six of Garrett’s starts this season, and they went 4-2 in those games.
- In Garrett’s 10 starts, his team is 7-3.
- Garrett has had 10 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 29 | 29 | 34 | 2.48 | 5 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | 26 | 31 | 44 | 2.90 | 10 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 25 | 26 | 26 | 4.50 | 5 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 23 | 30.2 | 34 | 3.52 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 20 | 20.2 | 31 | 2.18 | 5 | 0 |
White Sox Hitting Trends
- The White Sox have a 9-12 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
- Chicago has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 9-4 in those contests.
- The club is 22-17 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- Chicago is 17-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The White Sox have drawn five or more walks in six games this season, and are 2-4 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They are 7-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Miami has gone 11-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 32-26 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 24-10.
- In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 6-11
White Sox vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: White Sox (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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