The New York Mets (30-34) will aim to snap a seven-game losing streak when visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates (33-29) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Pirates (+104 underdog on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Mets (-123). The total for this game is set at 9.5.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 10, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -123 | +104 | 9.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 24 (52.2%) of those contests.
- This season New York has won 21 of its 41 games, or 51.2%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
- The Mets have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of 65 opportunities.
- The Mets are 23-42-0 ATS in their 65 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.97 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 22, or 48.9%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 19 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 31 of its 62 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 33-29-0 in 62 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.36 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- Senga’s team is 5-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 2 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Senga has nine starts of five or more innings this season in 11 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 11 chances this season.
- Senga’s team is 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Senga’s team has won seven of his 11 starts.
- In Senga’s 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 27 | 24.2 | 24 | 4.38 | 7 | 5 |
| Drew Smith | 25 | 22.2 | 26 | 4.37 | 8 | 2 |
| Brooks Raley | 25 | 21.1 | 22 | 2.95 | 13 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 24 | 27.1 | 35 | 1.98 | 5 | 10 |
| Jeff Brigham | 22 | 23.1 | 27 | 3.86 | 5 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo (3-4) gets the starting nod for the Pirates in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.29 ERA in 65 2/3 innings pitched, with 58 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday against the Oakland Athletics, when he went seven innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Oviedo is looking to collect his 10th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Pirates have a 3-5 record in Oviedo’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Oviedo’s team has won six of his 12 starts.
- Oviedo has started 12 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 25 | 28 | 39 | 1.61 | 3 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 24 | 24.1 | 30 | 1.11 | 0 | 13 |
| Colin Holderman | 23 | 23 | 27 | 2.74 | 12 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 21 | 25.1 | 24 | 2.13 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have hit at least two home runs in 20 games this season, and are 9-11 in those outings.
- New York has gone 5-4 in its nine games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 23-13 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- New York has a 24-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mets are 7-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 16-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 15 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 31 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 23-8.
- Pittsburgh has a 21-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 20 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-8
Mets vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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