The Washington Nationals (25-37) hope to stop their five-game losing run versus the Atlanta Braves (39-24), at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Braves are the home favorite (-189) versus the Nationals (+159). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 10, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -189 | +159 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 53 times and won 33, or 62.3%, of those games.
- Atlanta has entered 17 games this season favored by -189 or more and is 13-4 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of its 63 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 29-34-0 ATS in their 63 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (39%) in those contests.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by +159 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 38.6% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 29 of its 62 opportunities.
- In 62 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 36-26-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.34 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Jared Shuster
- Shuster and his team have a record of 3-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, May 31, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Shuster has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
- Shuster’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Shuster’s team has won two of his six starts.
- In games Shuster has started this season, the teams are 1-4-1 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 29 | 28.1 | 35 | 6.04 | 2 | 8 |
| Jesse Chávez | 26 | 27 | 33 | 1.67 | 12 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 23 | 25.1 | 28 | 3.2 | 10 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 20 | 21.1 | 28 | 3.38 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 20 | 20.1 | 27 | 3.98 | 2 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- The Nationals will send Gore (3-4) out to make his 13th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.66 ERA and 80 strikeouts over 64 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Gore will try to build upon a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance).
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Nationals have a 3-8 record in Gore’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gore’s team has won three of his 12 starts.
- Gore’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of 12 contests.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 28 | 26.2 | 21 | 3.37 | 13 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 25 | 27 | 33 | 3.33 | 11 | 3 |
| Mason Thompson | 24 | 32 | 26 | 3.66 | 3 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 24 | 24.2 | 26 | 4.74 | 3 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 15 | 22.2 | 23 | 4.76 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 21-9 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
- Atlanta has won each of its 14 games this season when racking up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 45 games this season, and is 32-13 in those contests.
- Atlanta is 31-6 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 12-8 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 12 games this season and are 7-5 in those matchups.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-1.
- They have a record of 22-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 17-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won seven of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-189)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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