The Los Angeles Angels (34-30) host the Seattle Mariners (30-31) to open a three-game series at Angel Stadium of Anaheim, with first pitch at 9:38 PM ET on Friday. The Angels are coming off a series victory over the Cubs, and the Mariners a series split with the Padres.
An expected tight matchup pits the Angels (-116 moneyline odds to win) against the Mariners (-103). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of June 9, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Angels vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | -116 | -103 | 7.5 |
Angels Betting Insights
- This season, the Angels have been favored 36 times and won 20, or 55.6%, of those games.
- This season Los Angeles has won 19 of its 34 games, or 55.9%, when favored by at least -116 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Angels, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 32 of its 64 chances.
- The Angels are 32-32-0 ATS in their 64 games with a spread this season.
Angels Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those contests.
- Seattle has a win-loss record of 7-8 when favored by -103 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 50.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 30 of 61 chances this season.
- The Mariners have posted a record of 27-34-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 6.24 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani
- Ohtani’s team is 5-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed nine hits in six innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Saturday, June 3.
- Ohtani has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 11 times. He averages 5.9 innings per appearance.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 12 chances this season.
- Ohtani’s team is 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Ohtani’s team has won seven of his 11 starts.
- Out of Ohtani’s 11 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Angels Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Estévez | 25 | 27.1 | 35 | 1.32 | 2 | 16 |
| Aaron Loup | 17 | 14.1 | 12 | 6.28 | 4 | 0 |
| Chris Devenski | 16 | 21.1 | 22 | 2.11 | 7 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 12 | 23 | 23 | 7.04 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaime Barria | 11 | 39 | 37 | 1.85 | 1 | 0 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo (4-3) gets the starting nod for the Mariners in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.55 ERA in 70 2/3 innings pitched, with 82 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, June 3 against the Texas Rangers, when he tossed seven innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Castillo is seeking his 13th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 12 appearances this season.
- The Mariners were the moneyline underdog for one Castillo start this season — they lost.
- Castillo’s team has won six of his 12 starts.
- Castillo has had 12 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those games.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 29 | 24 | 46 | 4.88 | 5 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 26 | 25.1 | 35 | 2.84 | 0 | 12 |
| Gabe Speier | 26 | 21.1 | 19 | 2.53 | 7 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 24 | 22.2 | 23 | 3.18 | 10 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 14 | 14.1 | 16 | 3.77 | 0 | 0 |
Angels Hitting Trends
- The Angels have hit at least two long balls in 23 games this season, and are 15-8 in those contests.
- Los Angeles has put up at least five extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 9-4 in those outings.
- The team is 28-17 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Los Angeles is 27-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Angels are 11-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 19 games this season and are 14-5 in those matchups.
- Seattle has won five of its six games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 23 of the 39 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Seattle has won 28 of its 35 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 18 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Angels vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Angels (-116)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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