The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-29) and New York Mets (30-33) clash on Friday at 7:05 PM ET, opening a three-game series at PNC Park.
The Pirates are a home favorite (-121) against the Mets (+103). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of June 9, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -121 | +103 | 9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been favorites in 16 games this season and won 10 (62.5%) of those contests.
- Pittsburgh is 9-6 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of its 61 games with a total this season.
- The Pirates are 32-29-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.66 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have come away with six wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- New York has a win-loss record of 1-9 when favored by +103 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 30 of 64 chances this season.
- The Mets have posted a record of 23-41-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill’s team is 5-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday.
- Hill will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 12 chances this season.
- When Hill starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- In games Hill has started, his team is 6-6.
- Out of Hill’s 12 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 25 | 28 | 39 | 1.61 | 3 | 1 |
| Colin Holderman | 23 | 23 | 27 | 2.74 | 12 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 23 | 24 | 30 | 1.13 | 0 | 13 |
| Jose Hernandez | 21 | 25.1 | 24 | 2.13 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill (5-3) takes the mound first for the Mets in his 13th start of the season. He has a 4.40 ERA in 59 1/3 innings pitched, with 48 strikeouts.
- The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Megill has put up eight starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- In one of his 12 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in six of Megill’s starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
- Megill’s team is 6-6 over his 12 starts.
- Megill’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of 12 contests.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 27 | 24.2 | 24 | 4.38 | 7 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 25 | 21.1 | 22 | 2.95 | 13 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 25 | 22.2 | 26 | 4.37 | 8 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 24 | 27.1 | 35 | 1.98 | 5 | 10 |
| Jeff Brigham | 22 | 23.1 | 27 | 3.86 | 5 | 0 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates are 15-2 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Pittsburgh is 14-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 30 times this season, and has a 22-8 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh has a 20-3 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Pirates have gone 12-8 in the 20 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 9-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 5-4.
- They have won 23 of the 35 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 24-10.
- In 13 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-6
Pirates vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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