A pair of baseball’s top hitters go head-to-head when the Atlanta Braves (38-24) and Washington Nationals (25-36) play at 7:20 PM ET on Friday, at Truist Park. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a .332 batting average (third in league) for the Braves, and Joey Meneses ranks ninth at .305.
The Nationals are an underdog (+175 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Braves (-207). The matchup has an over/under set at 10 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of June 9, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -207 | +175 | 10 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 32, or 61.5%, of the 52 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 11-3 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -207 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 67.4% chance to win.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of 62 games with a total.
- The Braves are 29-33-0 ATS in their 62 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 23, or 39.7%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Washington has won eight of 17 games when listed as at least +175 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 36.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 29 of 61 chances this season.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 35-26-0 in 61 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.28 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – A.J. Smith-Shawver
- The 20-year-old right-hander will make his MLB debut.
- Smith-Shawver did not pitch as the moneyline favorite last season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 29 | 28.1 | 35 | 6.04 | 2 | 8 |
| Jesse Chávez | 26 | 27 | 33 | 1.67 | 12 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 23 | 25.1 | 28 | 3.20 | 10 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 20 | 20.1 | 27 | 3.98 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 19 | 20.1 | 26 | 3.54 | 3 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray gets the start for the Nationals, his 13th of the season. He is 4-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 67 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s last time out came on Friday, June 2 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Gray is looking to collect his 12th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 5-6 record in Gray’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gray’s team has put together a 6-6 record over his 12 starts.
- Gray has had 12 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 27 | 25.2 | 21 | 3.51 | 12 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 25 | 27 | 33 | 3.33 | 11 | 3 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 23 | 23.2 | 26 | 4.56 | 3 | 11 |
| Mason Thompson | 23 | 31 | 24 | 3.77 | 2 | 1 |
| Thad Ward | 15 | 22.2 | 23 | 4.76 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 21-9 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its 14 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 44 games this season, and is 31-13 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 31-6 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 12-8 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won seven of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won nine of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 22-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 25 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 17-8.
- In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-9
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-207)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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