Guardians vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 9, 2023

The Houston Astros (36-27) will try to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Cleveland Guardians (29-33) at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.

The Guardians (-110 on the moneyline) play the Astros (-108) in an expected close matchup. The over/under for this game is 8.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of June 9, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Guardians vs Astros Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Guardians -110 -108 8

Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 34 times and won 17, or 50%, of those games.
  • This season Cleveland has won 16 of its 33 games, or 48.5%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
  • So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of 62 games with a total.
  • The Guardians are 31-31-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 9
ERA 3.72
K/9 8.8

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (61.1%) in those games.
  • Houston has a mark of 9-7 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total in 30 of its 63 opportunities.
  • In 63 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 32-31-0 against the spread.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 16
ERA 3.52
K/9 8.6

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen

  • Allen and his team have a record of 5-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
  • Allen will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in eight chances this season.
  • Allen’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Allen’s team has won five of his eight starts this season.
  • Games Allen has started this season hit the over two times in eight chances.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
James Karinchak 29 26.2 37 3.71 12 0
Emmanuel Clase 29 30 26 3.00 0 20
Trevor Stephan 27 26.1 30 2.73 10 2
Enyel De Los Santos 26 24 20 3.38 4 0
Eli Morgan 22 25.1 29 1.78 3 1

Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier

  • Javier gets the start for the Astros, his 13th of the season. He is 7-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, the right-hander tossed six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • Javier will try to last five or more innings for his 13th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
  • He has not made an appearance yet in 2023 that he did not give up at least one earned run.
  • The Astros have played as the moneyline underdog for four of Javier’s starts this season, and they won each time.
  • Javier’s team has put together a 10-2 record over his 12 starts.
  • Javier has started 12 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in nine of them.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 28 30.1 47 1.78 9 2
Phil Maton 26 30.2 33 1.17 4 0
Rafael Montero 26 25.2 29 5.96 4 1
Héctor Neris 24 25 30 1.44 11 2
Ryan Pressly 23 24.1 27 3.33 0 11

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians have a 7-2 record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
  • Cleveland has had at least five extra-base hits in nine games this season, and has gone 5-4 in those outings.
  • The club is 17-17 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • Cleveland has a 13-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 17 games this season, and are 9-8 in those contests.

Astros Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 12-5 in those matchups.
  • Houston has gone 10-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 36 of the 45 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Houston has a 34-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 14 of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Guardians vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Astros (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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