The Baltimore Orioles (38-24) and Kansas City Royals (18-44) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, at 7:05 PM ET. The Orioles are coming off a series defeat to the Brewers, and the Royals a series loss to the Marlins.
The favored Orioles (-193 moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Royals (+161). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of June 9, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -193 | +161 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in 30 games this season and won 22 (73.3%) of those contests.
- Baltimore has a record of 2-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -193 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.9% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of its 62 games with a total this season.
- The Orioles are 38-24-0 against the spread in their 62 chances this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 15 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Kansas City has won four of 16 games when listed as at least +161 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 38.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 26 of its 62 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Royals have an against the spread record of 23-39-0 in 62 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.08 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells
- When Wells starts, his team is 7-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 1/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants.
- Wells has pitched five or more innings in 12 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 12 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Wells’ team has a record of 6-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Wells’ team has won seven of his 11 starts.
- In Wells’ 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 28 | 27 | 34 | 3.67 | 9 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 27 | 30 | 62 | 1.20 | 0 | 16 |
| Michael Baumann | 26 | 32.2 | 35 | 4.13 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 26 | 22.1 | 32 | 2.01 | 12 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 26 | 33 | 33 | 1.09 | 13 | 4 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Daniel Lynch
- Lynch (0-1) makes the start for the Royals, his third of the season.
- His last appearance came on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, when the lefty threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Lynch will try to prolong a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
- The Royals have always been the moneyline underdog when Lynch starts this season.
- His team split the two games he’s appeared in this season.
- Lynch’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 26 | 27 | 35 | 4.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 23 | 28 | 32 | 2.89 | 8 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 21 | 21.1 | 35 | 2.95 | 7 | 2 |
| Scott Barlow | 20 | 23 | 33 | 3.52 | 0 | 7 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 19 | 30.1 | 41 | 4.45 | 3 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles are 17-9 this season in games when they send out at least two long balls.
- Baltimore has gone 15-2 in its 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits 40 times this season, and has a 26-14 record in those games.
- Baltimore is 29-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Orioles have gone 14-3 in the 17 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 5-10 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 7-10 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 36 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-22.
- Kansas City has won 11 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-9
Orioles vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-193)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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