The Washington Nationals (25-36) will attempt to stop a four-game losing streak when hosting the Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25) at 1:05 PM ET on Thursday.
The Nationals are an underdog (+137 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Diamondbacks (-161). The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of June 8, 2023 at 9:18 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -161 | +137 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 28 times this season and won 19, or 67.9%, of those games.
- Arizona has a record of 8-1, a 88.9% win rate, when favored by -161 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of 62 opportunities.
- The Diamondbacks are 37-25-0 against the spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.30 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 23, or 39.7%, of the 58 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won 15 of 34 games when listed as at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 42.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 29 of 61 chances this season.
- The Nationals are 35-26-0 against the spread in their 61 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.28 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- When Kelly starts, his team is 8-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Kelly has pitched five or more innings in 11 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 12 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- When Kelly starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-1.
- Kelly’s team is 8-4 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Kelly have a 3-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 27 | 32.2 | 38 | 3.03 | 12 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 25 | 22.1 | 35 | 3.22 | 7 | 8 |
| Miguel Castro | 25 | 26 | 23 | 3.46 | 8 | 6 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 24 | 27.1 | 24 | 2.96 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Nelson | 24 | 23 | 29 | 2.74 | 6 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- The Nationals are sending Gray (4-5) out for his 13th start of the season. He is 4-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 55 strikeouts through 67 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Gray has pitched five or more innings in a game 11 times this year entering this matchup.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 5-6 record in Gray’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gray’s team has a 6-6 record in his starts this season.
- Gray has had 12 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 27 | 25.2 | 21 | 3.51 | 12 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 25 | 27 | 33 | 3.33 | 11 | 3 |
| Mason Thompson | 23 | 31 | 24 | 3.77 | 2 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 23 | 23.2 | 26 | 4.56 | 3 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 15 | 22.2 | 23 | 4.76 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks are 19-7 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
- Arizona has gone 15-4 in its 19 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 37-11 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Arizona has a 36-7 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks have drawn at least five walks in 25 games this season, and are 12-13 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 12 games this season and are 7-5 in those matchups.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-1.
- They have won 22 of the 40 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 25 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 17-8.
- They have won seven of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-161)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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