Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 8, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (35-28) are looking for continued production from a slugger on a hot streak against the Houston Astros (36-26) on Thursday at 7:07 PM ET, at Rogers Centre. Bo Bichette is currently on a two-game homer streak.

The Astros are favored (-114) in an expected tight game against the Blue Jays (-105). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of June 8, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -114 -105 8

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 25 (56.8%) of those contests.
  • Houston has a record of 24-17, a 58.5% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 30 of 62 chances this season.
  • The Astros have an ATS record of 32-30-0 in 62 games with a spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 16
ERA 3.74
K/9 8.9

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (52.6%) in those games.
  • This season, Toronto has been victorious nine times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of its 63 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Blue Jays have an against the spread record of 31-32-0 in 63 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 13
ERA 2.60
K/9 10.5

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez

  • When Valdez starts, his team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday.
  • Valdez will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 12 chances this season.
  • When Valdez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-5.
  • Valdez’s team has won seven of his 12 starts.
  • Games Valdez has started this season hit the over seven times in 12 chances.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 27 29.1 45 1.84 9 2
Phil Maton 25 29.2 31 1.21 4 0
Rafael Montero 25 24.2 28 6.20 4 1
Héctor Neris 24 25 30 1.44 11 2
Ryan Pressly 23 24.1 27 3.33 0 11

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios

  • Berrios makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 13th of the season. He is 5-4 with a 3.66 ERA and 68 strikeouts in 71 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Saturday against the New York Mets, when he went six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • Berrios will try to prolong an 11-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per appearance).
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 12 outings this season.
  • The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog in three of Berrios’ starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.
  • Berrios’ team has a 7-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Berrios has started 12 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 28 29.2 37 2.73 15 1
Tim Mayza 28 21.1 22 1.69 5 1
Yimi Garcia 26 25.2 30 5.96 7 0
Jordan Romano 25 25 31 2.88 1 16
Anthony Bass 21 20 19 4.95 1 0

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros have a 12-5 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • Houston is 10-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 36-9 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • Houston has a 34-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Astros are 14-3 over the 17 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They are 14-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Toronto has gone 9-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 36-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 36 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-8.
  • In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-5

Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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