The New York Mets (30-31) will look for another big outing from a slugger on a roll against the Atlanta Braves (36-24) on Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET, at Truist Park. Pete Alonso is currently on a two-game homer streak.
The Braves are favored at home (-131) against the Mets (+111). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of June 7, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -131 | +111 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 50 games this season and won 30 (60%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has a record of 27-13, a 67.5% win rate, when favored by -131 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of 60 opportunities.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 27-33-0 in 60 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have come away with six wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- New York has a win-loss record of 1-5 when favored by +111 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 28 of its 62 opportunities.
- The Mets are 23-39-0 against the spread in their 62 games that had a posted line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton
- When Morton starts, his team is 5-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Morton will look to finish five or more innings for the 12th start in a row.
- In 11 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Morton’s team is 5-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Morton’s team has won five of his 11 starts this season.
- In games Morton has started this season, the teams are 6-5-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 28 | 27.1 | 34 | 6.26 | 2 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 25 | 26 | 31 | 1.73 | 12 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 22 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 10 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 19 | 18.1 | 24 | 4.42 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 18 | 19.1 | 25 | 3.26 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer makes the start for the Mets, his 10th of the season. He is 5-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 48 strikeouts over 47 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Scherzer is seeking his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per start.
- He has had three appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Mets have always been the moneyline underdog when Scherzer starts this season.
- Scherzer’s team has compiled a 7-2 record in his nine starts.
- Scherzer has started nine contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 26 | 24 | 23 | 4.12 | 7 | 5 |
| Drew Smith | 24 | 21.2 | 26 | 3.74 | 7 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 23 | 25.2 | 32 | 1.75 | 5 | 10 |
| Brooks Raley | 23 | 19.2 | 22 | 2.75 | 13 | 1 |
| Jeff Brigham | 21 | 22.1 | 27 | 3.63 | 4 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 19-9 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Atlanta has won each of its 13 games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 29-13 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Atlanta has a 29-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 11-8 in the 19 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 18 games this season and are 9-9 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 5-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 23-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has a 24-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 7-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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