Phillies vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 7, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (29-32) hope to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Detroit Tigers (26-33), at 6:05 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Tigers (+204 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Phillies (-247). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of June 7, 2023 at 1:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -247 +204 7.5

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 36 games this season and won 19 (52.8%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has been at least -247 moneyline favorites three times this season and won each of those games.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 71.2% chance to win.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 27 of its 61 chances.
  • In 61 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 27-34-0 ATS.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 14
ERA 3.49
K/9 8

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 54 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (42.6%) in those games.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 2-5 when favored by +204 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 32.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 31 of its 60 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have an against the spread mark of 33-27-0 in 60 games with a line this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 7
ERA 4.14
K/9 9

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • When Wheeler starts, his team is 6-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
  • Wheeler has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 10 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
  • Wheeler’s team is 4-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Wheeler has started, his team is 6-6.
  • Out of Wheeler’s 12 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Seranthony Domínguez 28 24 26 3.38 8 0
Gregory Soto 26 24 27 5.25 9 1
Craig Kimbrel 25 23 36 5.09 3 9
Connor Brogdon 25 29 26 4.03 3 0
Andrew Vasquez 19 28.2 25 1.26 0 0

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Reese Olson

  • Olson (0-1) pitches first for the Tigers to make his second start this season.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, the righty threw five innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
  • The Tigers were named the moneyline underdog for one Olson start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Olson’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 25 25.1 21 1.42 10 2
Alex Lange 24 24.2 35 2.55 1 10
José Cisnero 23 22 21 2.86 5 1
Chasen Shreve 22 22 21 4.91 7 0
Will Vest 18 23 25 2.74 2 0

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies are 12-6 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
  • Philadelphia has gone 12-4 in its 16 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched eight or more hits in 42 games this season, and is 25-17 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a 22-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Phillies are 15-5 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 11 games this season and are 7-4 in those matchups.
  • Detroit has won six of its seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 32 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 25-7.
  • In 25 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 22-3.
  • In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-7

Phillies vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-247)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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