The Boston Red Sox (31-30) visit the Cleveland Guardians (27-33) at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The favored Guardians (-137 on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Red Sox (+115). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of June 7, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -137 | +115 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 32 games this season and won 15 (46.9%) of those contests.
- This season Cleveland has won seven of its 16 games, or 43.8%, when favored by at least -137 on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have a 57.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 23 of its 60 games with a total this season.
- In 60 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 29-31-0 ATS.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 15, or 44.1%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Boston has a mark of 11-9 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over in 36 of its 61 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 31-30-0 in 61 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.04 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee and his team have a record of 4-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
- Bibee has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
- When Bibee starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- In games Bibee has started, his team is 2-5.
- In Bibee’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Karinchak | 28 | 26.1 | 37 | 3.76 | 11 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Clase | 28 | 29 | 24 | 3.10 | 0 | 19 |
| Trevor Stephan | 26 | 25.1 | 30 | 2.84 | 9 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 25 | 23 | 18 | 3.52 | 4 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 21 | 24.1 | 26 | 1.85 | 2 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- Crawford (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his fourth start of the season. He has a 3.48 ERA in 33 2/3 innings pitched, with 33 strikeouts.
- In his last outing on Saturday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the right-hander went three innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering two hits.
- Crawford will look to collect his third game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 3.0 innings per appearance.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his 11 outings this season.
- The Red Sox were the moneyline underdog for one Crawford start this season — they lost.
- Crawford’s team has a 1-2 record in his starts this season.
- Crawford’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of three contests.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 20 | 35.2 | 27 | 2.27 | 8 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 19 | 19.2 | 23 | 3.66 | 0 | 13 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 18 | 17.2 | 14 | 2.55 | 11 | 0 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 12 | 16.2 | 16 | 2.70 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have put up at least two long balls in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those outings.
- Cleveland has gone 4-4 in its eight games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 15-17 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Cleveland is 11-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians are 9-8 over the 17 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 13 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston has gone 11-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 43 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-19.
- Boston has a 27-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-9
Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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