The Minnesota Twins (31-30) carry a three-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the Tampa Bay Rays (44-19), at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
The favored Rays (-131 on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Twins (+111). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 7, 2023 at 1:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -131 | +111 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have won 40 out of the 55 games, or 72.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Tampa Bay has entered 44 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 36-8 in those contests.
- The Rays have a 56.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 35 of 63 chances this season.
- The Rays are 38-25-0 against the spread in their 63 chances this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.21 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been victorious in seven, or 30.4%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Minnesota has a win-loss record of 6-8 when favored by +111 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 25 of its 61 opportunities.
- The Twins are 28-33-0 against the spread in their 61 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shawn Armstrong
- In three games he pitched with a spread last season, Armstrong and his team covered the spread each time.
- The 32-year-old righty has pitched in relief once already this season, but will make his first start.
- Armstrong and his team won as favorites in both of his two appearances last season with a moneyline.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 2-1.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 25 | 25.1 | 35 | 2.84 | 6 | 8 |
| Colin Poche | 24 | 21.2 | 15 | 2.08 | 8 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 23 | 19.1 | 17 | 6.52 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 22 | 26.1 | 20 | 4.10 | 7 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 19 | 15.1 | 19 | 4.70 | 7 | 0 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez (3-3) takes the mound first for the Twins in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.54 ERA in 71 1/3 innings pitched, with 86 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday against the Cleveland Guardians, the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Lopez is looking for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 innings per start.
- The Twins were named the moneyline underdog for three Lopez starts this season — they lost each time.
- Lopez’s team has won seven of his 12 starts.
- Lopez has had 12 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those matchups hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 26 | 25.1 | 28 | 3.91 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 25 | 24 | 21 | 4.50 | 6 | 3 |
| Emilio Pagán | 21 | 26.1 | 25 | 3.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 21 | 23 | 32 | 1.17 | 0 | 8 |
| Jovani Moran | 21 | 25 | 28 | 3.60 | 6 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have hit two or more dingers in 35 games this season, and are 26-9 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has gone 20-2 in its 22 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 34-19 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Tampa Bay is 35-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays are 16-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 28-5 in those matchups.
- Minnesota has won each of its 20 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 33-8 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Minnesota has a 34-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-9
Rays vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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