Padres vs. Mariners Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 7, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (30-30) have a 1-0 series lead and hope to sweep the San Diego Padres (28-33) on Wednesday at PETCO Park, at 4:10 PM ET.

Oddsmakers project the Padres as a small favorite (-117 moneyline odds to win) against the Mariners (-101). The game’s over/under is set at 8.

The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of June 7, 2023 at 1:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Mariners Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -117 -101 8

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 39 times and won 20, or 51.3%, of those games.
  • San Diego has a record of 18-18, a 50% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 61 games with a total this season.
  • In 61 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 29-32-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 8
ERA 3.07
K/9 9.1

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have come away with seven wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious seven times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of its 60 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mariners have an against the spread record of 27-33-0 in 60 games with a line this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 6.27
K/9 9.8

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha

  • Wacha’s team is 8-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
  • Wacha has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings eight times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
  • Wacha’s team has won 57.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-3).
  • Wacha’s team has won seven of his 11 starts.
  • In Wacha’s 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Steven Wilson 27 30 33 3 10 0
Tim Hill 26 25 17 3.6 6 0
Josh Hader 23 22.1 32 1.61 0 13
Brent Honeywell Jr. 21 31.2 30 3.69 3 0
Nick Martínez 16 48.2 40 2.59 5 1

Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby (5-4) takes the mound first for the Mariners in his 12th start of the season. He has a 3.04 ERA in 71 2/3 innings pitched, with 58 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s last time out was on Thursday against the New York Yankees, when he went eight scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
  • Kirby heads into the game with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Mariners were the underdog on the moneyline for one Kirby start this season — they lost.
  • Kirby’s team has won six of his 11 starts.
  • Kirby has had 11 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those outings finished over the total.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 28 23.1 44 4.24 5 1
Paul Sewald 26 25.1 35 2.84 0 12
Gabe Speier 26 21.1 19 2.53 7 0
Justin Topa 24 22.2 23 3.18 10 1
Tayler Saucedo 13 14 15 3.21 0 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have an 11-14 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
  • San Diego is 9-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits in 29 games this season, and is 21-8 in those contests.
  • San Diego has a 23-3 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres have gone 16-9 in the 25 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • They have won 14 of the 19 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Seattle has gone 5-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 39 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 23-16.
  • In 35 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-7.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 18-4

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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