The Miami Marlins (34-28) hope to sweep a three-game series versus the Kansas City Royals (18-43), at 6:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Royals (+152 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Marlins (-181). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 7, 2023 at 1:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -181 | +152 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 29 times this season and won 17, or 58.6%, of those games.
- Miami is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -181 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.4% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 28 of its 62 chances.
- In 62 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 28-34-0 ATS.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.46 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 15 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Kansas City has won six of 23 games when listed as at least +152 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 26 of its 61 opportunities.
- The Royals are 23-38-0 against the spread in their 61 games that had a posted line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera’s team is 5-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on four hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Cabrera will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- Cabrera’s team has won 80% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-1).
- In games Cabrera has started, his team is 7-4.
- Out of Cabrera’s 11 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 27 | 27 | 31 | 2.67 | 4 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | 24 | 29 | 40 | 3.10 | 9 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 24 | 25.2 | 25 | 4.21 | 5 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 23 | 30.2 | 34 | 3.52 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 18 | 18.2 | 30 | 2.41 | 4 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles gets the start for the Royals, his 13th of the season. He is 0-9 with a 6.61 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, when he threw five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
- Lyles will aim to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
- The Royals were named the moneyline underdog for 10 Lyles starts this season — they lost every game.
- Lyles’ team has fallen in all 12 of his starts this season.
- Lyles’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 12 games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 25 | 26 | 34 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 23 | 28 | 32 | 2.89 | 8 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 21 | 21.1 | 35 | 2.95 | 7 | 2 |
| Scott Barlow | 20 | 23 | 33 | 3.52 | 0 | 7 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 19 | 30.1 | 41 | 4.45 | 3 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 7-17 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- Miami has gone 11-1 in its 12 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 30-26 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Miami is 22-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 5-11 in the 16 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 5-10 in those matchups.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-10.
- In 36 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-22.
- Kansas City has a 11-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-9
Marlins vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-181)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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