The San Diego Padres (28-32) and Seattle Mariners (29-30) clash on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, opening a two-game series at PETCO Park.
The Padres are a home favorite (-119) against the Mariners (+100). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of June 6, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -119 | +100 | 8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 20, or 52.6%, of the 38 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Diego has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -119 odds on them winning this game.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of 60 games with a total.
- The Padres are 29-31-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.76 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won in six, or 35.3%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Oddsmakers have given Seattle the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +100 moneyline listed for this contest.
- The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 29 of 59 chances this season.
- The Mariners have an against the spread mark of 26-33-0 in 59 games with a line this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 6.37 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove and his team are 4-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up no earned runs and allowed three hits in six innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Musgrove has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Musgrove’s team is 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Musgrove’s team has won four of his seven starts this season.
- In games Musgrove has started this season, the teams are 2-5-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 26 | 29 | 32 | 2.48 | 10 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 26 | 25 | 17 | 3.60 | 6 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 23 | 22.1 | 32 | 1.61 | 0 | 13 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 20 | 30.2 | 29 | 3.52 | 3 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 16 | 48.2 | 40 | 2.59 | 5 | 1 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- The Mariners are sending Gilbert (3-3) out to make his 12th start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 64 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Wednesday against the New York Yankees, when the righty threw four innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Gilbert heads into this game with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Mariners were the underdog on the moneyline for two Gilbert starts this season — they won both.
- Gilbert’s team is 5-6 in his 11 starts.
- Gilbert has started 11 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 28 | 23.1 | 44 | 4.24 | 5 | 1 |
| Trevor Gott | 26 | 26.2 | 31 | 3.37 | 7 | 0 |
| Gabe Speier | 26 | 21.1 | 19 | 2.53 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 25 | 24.1 | 33 | 2.96 | 0 | 11 |
| Justin Topa | 24 | 22.2 | 23 | 3.18 | 10 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have hit two or more homers in 25 games this season, and are 11-14 in those outings.
- San Diego has put up five or more extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 9-5 in those contests.
- The team has collected eight or more hits in 29 games this season, and is 21-8 in those contests.
- San Diego has a 23-3 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres are 16-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They have won 13 of the 18 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Seattle has gone 5-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 22 of the 38 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Seattle has a 28-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 18 of their 22 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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