The Miami Marlins (33-28) aim to continue their four-game winning streak when they face the Kansas City Royals (18-42) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, at LoanDepot park.
The favored Marlins (-167 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Royals (+142). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of June 6, 2023 at 5:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -167 | +142 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have been favored 28 times and won 16, or 57.1%, of those games.
- This season Miami has won five of its six games when favored by at least -167 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of 61 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 27-34-0 against the spread in their 61 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.56 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 15, or 31.2%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 6-20 when favored by +142 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 41.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of its 60 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals are 23-37-0 against the spread in their 60 games that had a posted line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo’s team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Luzardo will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- Luzardo’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
- Luzardo’s team has won eight of his 12 starts.
- In Luzardo’s 12 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 27 | 27 | 31 | 2.67 | 4 | 1 |
| Dylan Floro | 24 | 25.2 | 25 | 4.21 | 5 | 7 |
| Tanner Scott | 23 | 28 | 39 | 3.21 | 9 | 2 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 23 | 30.2 | 34 | 3.52 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 18 | 18.2 | 30 | 2.41 | 4 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke
- Greinke gets the start for the Royals, his 13th of the season. He is 1-5 with a 4.19 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 62 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the righty tossed five scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals while surrendering two hits.
- Greinke is aiming for his seventh straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per start.
- The Royals have a 3-8 record in Greinke’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Greinke’s team is 3-9 over his 12 starts.
- Greinke’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of 12 games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 24 | 25.2 | 33 | 4.56 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 23 | 28 | 32 | 2.89 | 8 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 21 | 21.1 | 35 | 2.95 | 7 | 2 |
| Scott Barlow | 20 | 23 | 33 | 3.52 | 0 | 7 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 19 | 30.1 | 41 | 4.45 | 3 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 7-17 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Miami is 11-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 56 times this season, and has a 30-26 record in those games.
- Miami has a 21-10 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 5-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 5-10 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 7-10 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 14-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 21 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 11-10.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-9
Marlins vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-167)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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