Pirates vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 6, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-27) will try to keep a six-game win streak going when they host the Oakland Athletics (12-50) at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Athletics are a heavy road underdog (+228) at the Pirates (-276). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of June 6, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Pirates vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Pirates -276 +228 8.5

Pirates Betting Insights

  • This season, the Pirates have won 10 out of the 14 games, or 71.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Pittsburgh has not been bigger favorites this season than the -276 moneyline set for this game.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 73.4% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 28 of its 59 chances.
  • The Pirates have an ATS record of 32-27-0 in 59 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 13
ERA 4.70
K/9 8.6

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have been chosen as underdogs in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (19.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Oakland has been a moneyline underdog of -276 or longer 11 times, losing every contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Athletics have a 30.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Oakland and its opponents have gone over in 33 of its 62 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Athletics are 23-39-0 against the spread in their 62 games that had a posted line this season.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 3
ERA 5.65
K/9 8.0

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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller

  • Keller’s team is 10-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed 10 hits in six innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday.
  • Keller will look to finish five or more innings for the 12th start in a row.
  • Keller’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-1).
  • Keller’s team has won nine of his 12 starts.
  • In Keller’s 12 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Dauri Moreta 24 27 38 1.67 3 1
David Bednar 23 24 30 1.13 0 13
Colin Holderman 23 23 27 2.74 12 1
Jose Hernandez 20 24.1 23 2.22 3 0
Duane Underwood Jr. 19 24.1 14 5.18 3 2

Athletics Probable Pitcher – James Kaprielian

  • The Athletics will send Kaprielian (0-6) to make his eighth start of the season. He is 0-6 with an 8.12 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when the righty went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Kaprielian will try to secure his fifth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 3.7 innings per appearance.
  • The Athletics were the moneyline underdog for seven Kaprielian starts this season — they lost every game.
  • Kaprielian’s team has lost all seven of his starts this season.
  • Kaprielian has started seven games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Sam Moll 25 21.2 24 4.57 4 0
Richard Lovelady 19 18 18 4.00 3 0
Shintaro Fujinami 13 32.2 33 11.57 1 0
Trevor May 13 12 8 6.75 0 0
Sam Long 13 21 15 3.43 0 0

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • The Pirates are 15-2 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
  • Pittsburgh has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 15 games this season, and has gone 14-1 in those contests.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits 29 times this season, and has a 22-7 record in those games.
  • Pittsburgh is 20-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Pirates are 12-6 over the 18 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They have won 11 of the 20 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Oakland has gone 9-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 13 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Oakland has won 13 of its 22 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-8

Pirates vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-276)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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