The Milwaukee Brewers (32-28) and Baltimore Orioles (37-22) clash in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at American Family Field, at 7:40 PM ET. The Brewers are coming off a series victory over the Reds, and the Orioles a series win over the Giants.
The Brewers are favored at home (-130) against the Orioles (+111). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of June 6, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -130 | +111 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 17, or 54.8%, of the 31 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee has a record of 12-8, a 60% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 25 of 60 opportunities.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 28-32-0 in 60 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.04 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (51.7%) in those contests.
- This year, Baltimore has won 11 of 20 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 30 of its 59 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Orioles are 36-23-0 against the spread in their 59 games that had a posted line this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta and his team are 5-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday.
- In 11 starts this season, Peralta has lasted five or more innings 10 times, with an average of 5.5 innings per appearance.
- Peralta’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-4.
- Peralta’s team has won five of his 11 starts this season.
- Games Peralta has started this season hit the over six times in 11 chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 26 | 26.2 | 24 | 3.71 | 14 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | 24 | 21.1 | 18 | 3.80 | 4 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 24 | 27.1 | 31 | 2.30 | 8 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 18 | 19.2 | 26 | 0.46 | 0 | 10 |
| Bryse Wilson | 18 | 31.1 | 24 | 2.30 | 2 | 3 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson (7-3) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his 13th start of the season. He has a 3.89 ERA in 71 2/3 innings pitched, with 47 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Tuesday, May 30 against the Cleveland Guardians, the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Gibson will try to last five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
- The Orioles have been the moneyline underdog in six of Gibson’s starts this season, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
- Gibson’s team has won eight of his 12 starts.
- Gibson has started 12 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 27 | 26 | 33 | 3.81 | 9 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 25 | 31.2 | 34 | 4.26 | 2 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 25 | 28 | 57 | 1.29 | 0 | 15 |
| Cionel Pérez | 24 | 21 | 15 | 4.71 | 7 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 24 | 31 | 30 | 0.87 | 12 | 4 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 28-5 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its four games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 24-6 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee has a 32-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 16-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 24 games this season and are 16-8 in those matchups.
- Baltimore has won 14 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 25 of the 38 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 36 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-8.
- In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-3
Brewers vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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