The New York Mets (30-30) visit the Atlanta Braves (35-24) in NL East play, at 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Mets (+145 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Braves (-172). The game’s over/under is set at 10.5.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of June 6, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -172 | +145 | 10.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 29 out of the 49 games, or 59.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Atlanta has won 14 of its 21 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -172 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 63.2% chance to win.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of its 59 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 26-33-0 against the spread in their 59 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (40%) in those games.
- New York has played as an underdog of +145 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 28 of its 61 opportunities.
- The Mets have an against the spread record of 23-38-0 in 61 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder’s team is 5-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in 7 1/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics.
- Elder will look to finish five or more innings for the 12th start in a row.
- Elder’s team has a record of 6-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Elder has started, his team is 8-3.
- Games started by Elder have a 4-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 27 | 26.1 | 33 | 6.49 | 1 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 24 | 25 | 31 | 1.80 | 11 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 22 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 10 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 19 | 18.1 | 24 | 4.42 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 18 | 19.1 | 25 | 3.26 | 3 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco (2-2) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his seventh start of the season. He has a 5.74 ERA in 31 1/3 innings pitched, with 19 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, the righty went six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
- Carrasco will aim to go five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
- The Mets were the moneyline underdog for two Carrasco starts this season — they split the games.
- In Carrasco’s six starts, his team is 4-2.
- Carrasco’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of six games.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 25 | 23 | 23 | 3.91 | 7 | 5 |
| Drew Smith | 23 | 20.2 | 25 | 3.48 | 7 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 23 | 25.2 | 32 | 1.75 | 5 | 10 |
| Brooks Raley | 23 | 19.2 | 22 | 2.75 | 13 | 1 |
| Jeff Brigham | 20 | 21.1 | 26 | 3.80 | 4 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 19-9 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Atlanta has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 12 games this season, and won every time.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits 41 times this season, and has a 28-13 record in those games.
- Atlanta has a 28-6 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 11-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 9-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 5-4.
- They have a record of 23-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has a 24-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 11 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-4
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-172)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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