Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 5, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 4, 2023

Alex Bregman brings an 11-game hitting streak into the Houston Astros’ (35-24) game against the Toronto Blue Jays (33-27), at 7:07 PM ET on Monday, at Rogers Centre.

The Astros (+101 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Blue Jays (-118). The game’s total is set at 10.

The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of June 5, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Astros Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -118 +101 10

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Toronto has a record of 19-16, a 54.3% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of 60 opportunities.
  • In 60 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 30-30-0 ATS.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 2.76
K/9 10.9

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have come away with 10 wins in the 15 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Houston has been victorious five times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of its 59 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros have posted a record of 30-29-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 18
ERA 3.16
K/9 10

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah

  • Manoah and his team have a record of 4-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw four innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • Manoah has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 4.8 innings per appearance.
  • When Manoah starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-4.
  • Manoah’s team has won four of his 12 starts this season.
  • Games started by Manoah have an 8-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 27 28.2 35 2.83 14 1
Tim Mayza 27 20 20 1.8 5 1
Yimi Garcia 25 24.2 30 6.2 7 0
Jordan Romano 24 24 30 3 1 15
Anthony Bass 20 19 19 4.26 1 0

Astros Probable Pitcher – Brandon Bielak

  • Bielak (2-2) takes the mound first for the Astros in his sixth start of the season. He has a 3.19 ERA in 31 2/3 innings pitched, with 28 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • Bielak will try to build upon a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
  • The Astros were the underdog on the moneyline for two Bielak starts this season — they lost both.
  • In Bielak’s five starts, his team is 2-3.
  • Bielak has started five games with a total this season. His team has gone under in each of them.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 26 28.1 44 1.91 9 2
Phil Maton 24 28.2 31 1.26 4 0
Rafael Montero 24 23.2 27 6.08 4 1
Héctor Neris 23 24 30 1.13 11 2
Ryan Pressly 23 24.1 27 3.33 0 11

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 12-6 this season in games when they crush at least two bombs.
  • Toronto has gone 8-1 in its nine games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 36-17 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
  • Toronto is 27-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 8-5 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Astros Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 11-5 in those matchups.
  • Houston has won nine of its 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 35 of the 44 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 37 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-4.
  • In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-3

Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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