Jake Fraley carries a two-game homer streak into the Cincinnati Reds’ (26-33) game against the Milwaukee Brewers (32-27) at 7:10 PM ET on Monday, at Great American Ball Park.
The Brewers are road underdogs (+106) versus the Reds (-124). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of June 5, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -124 | +106 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have entered the game as favorites 13 times this season and won six, or 46.2%, of those games.
- This season Cincinnati has won four of its seven games when favored by at least -124 on the moneyline.
- The Reds have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Cincinnati has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 33 of 59 chances this season.
- The Reds are 35-24-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.95 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in 15, or 53.6%, of the 28 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 12 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of its 59 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Brewers are 28-31-0 against the spread in their 59 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 8 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Andrew Abbott
- The left-hander will make his MLB debut at the age of 24.
- Abbott did not pitch as the moneyline favorite in any games last season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 25 | 27.1 | 23 | 3.62 | 5 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 24 | 22.2 | 28 | 2.78 | 8 | 0 |
| Buck Farmer | 23 | 28 | 25 | 2.57 | 3 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 21 | 22.1 | 41 | 1.61 | 1 | 13 |
| Lucas Sims | 17 | 18.1 | 23 | 3.93 | 5 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Julio Teheran
- The Brewers are sending Teheran (1-1) out to make his third start of the season.
- In his last time out on Wednesday, the right-hander threw six innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up no earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Teheran will aim to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
- The Brewers were the moneyline underdog for two Teheran starts this season — they split the games.
- His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Teherán’s two starts with a total this season both went under.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 26 | 26.2 | 24 | 3.71 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 24 | 27.1 | 31 | 2.3 | 8 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 23 | 20.2 | 17 | 3.92 | 4 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 18 | 19.2 | 26 | 0.46 | 0 | 10 |
| Bryse Wilson | 18 | 31.1 | 24 | 2.3 | 2 | 3 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have a 12-2 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Cincinnati has gone 13-4 in its 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 31-16 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Cincinnati has a 33-6 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Reds have drawn at least five walks in 24 games this season, and are 8-16 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 28 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in four games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 30 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-6.
- In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 32-2.
- They have a 16-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Reds vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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