The Miami Marlins (32-28) aim to prolong their three-game win streak when they meet the Kansas City Royals (18-41) on Monday at 6:40 PM ET, at LoanDepot park.
The Marlins are a home favorite (-162) against the Royals (+138). The over/under for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 5, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -162 | +138 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 27 games this season and won 15 (55.6%) of those contests.
- Miami has a record of 5-1 when favored by -162 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of its 60 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins are 26-34-0 ATS in their 60 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (31.9%) in those contests.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 7-23 when favored by +138 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 42% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 25 of 59 chances this season.
- In 59 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 23-36-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.84 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett and his team are 5-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in 5 1/3 innings against the San Diego Padres.
- Garrett will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- Garrett’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Garrett’s team has a 6-3 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Garrett have a 3-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 26 | 25.2 | 29 | 2.81 | 3 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | 23 | 28 | 39 | 3.21 | 9 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 23 | 25 | 25 | 4.32 | 5 | 6 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 22 | 30 | 33 | 3.60 | 8 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 17 | 18.1 | 29 | 1.96 | 4 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Carlos Hernandez
- Hernandez gets the start for the Royals, his sixth of the season. He is 0-3 with a 4.76 ERA and 38 strikeouts over 28 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Saturday, when he threw a third of an inning against the Colorado Rockies, allowing four earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Hernandez, who averages 1.2 per outing, has not yet pitched five or more innings in a start this season (in five starts).
- The Royals have a 1-3 record in Hernandez’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Hernandez’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- Hernandez’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in five games with a set total this season.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 24 | 25.2 | 33 | 4.56 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 23 | 28 | 32 | 2.89 | 8 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 21 | 21.1 | 35 | 2.95 | 7 | 2 |
| Scott Barlow | 20 | 23 | 33 | 3.52 | 0 | 7 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 19 | 28.1 | 38 | 4.76 | 3 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 7-17 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami has gone 10-1 in its 11 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 55 games this season, and is 29-26 in those contests.
- Miami is 20-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Marlins have gone 5-11 in the 16 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 5-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-10.
- In 35 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-21.
- Kansas City has won 11 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-9
Marlins vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-162)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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