Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays (42-19) into a matchup against Masataka Yoshida and the Boston Red Sox (30-29) at , on Monday at 4:05 PM ET. Diaz is at .312, the seventh-best average in the league, while Yoshida is fifth at .318.
The Red Sox play as a home underdog (+123) versus the Rays (-144). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of June 5, 2023 at 3:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -144 | +123 | 8.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have won 38 out of the 53 games, or 71.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 29-6 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of 61 games with a total.
- In 61 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 36-25-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 15, or 45.5%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has been victorious 11 times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of its 59 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 31-28-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan
- McClanahan’s team is 8-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- McClanahan has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- McClanahan’s team has won 83.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-2).
- McClanahan’s team has a 10-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games McClanahan has started this season hit the over seven times in 12 chances.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 24 | 24.1 | 33 | 2.96 | 6 | 7 |
| Colin Poche | 23 | 20.2 | 14 | 2.18 | 7 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 22 | 18.1 | 16 | 6.87 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 22 | 26.1 | 20 | 4.10 | 7 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 19 | 15.1 | 19 | 4.70 | 7 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- The Red Sox are sending Bello (3-3) to the mound to make his ninth start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 3.89 ERA and 41 strikeouts through 39 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds, the righty went four innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Bello has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this season heading into this outing.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in four of Bello’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
- Bello’s team has won five of his eight starts.
- Bello’s starts went over the run total six times in eight games with a set total this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 20 | 35.2 | 27 | 2.27 | 8 | 2 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 18 | 18.2 | 22 | 3.86 | 0 | 12 |
| Chris Martin | 17 | 16.2 | 12 | 1.62 | 10 | 0 |
| Kaleb Ort | 13 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.28 | 1 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 25-9 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Tampa Bay is 20-2 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 52 games this season, and is 33-19 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay is 34-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 18 games this season, and are 15-3 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 13-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has gone 11-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 23-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has won 26 of its 34 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 10 of their 19 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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