Drew Ellis leads the Philadelphia Phillies (27-32) into a matchup with the Detroit Tigers (26-31) after homering twice in an 11-3 victory over the Nationals. It starts at 6:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Tigers are road underdogs (+205) against the Phillies (-244). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of June 5, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -244 | +205 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 34 times this season and won 17, or 50%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has played as favorites of -244 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The Phillies have a 70.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of 59 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 26-33-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.82 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (44.2%) in those contests.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +205 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 32.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 30 of its 58 opportunities.
- The Tigers have posted a record of 32-26-0 against the spread this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola and his team have a record of 4-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the New York Mets, giving up four earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in 11 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Nola’s team has a record of 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Nola’s team has a 5-7 record in his starts this season.
- Games Nola has started this season hit the over seven times in 12 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 26 | 22 | 23 | 3.68 | 7 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 26 | 24 | 27 | 5.25 | 9 | 1 |
| Connor Brogdon | 25 | 29 | 26 | 4.03 | 3 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 24 | 22 | 33 | 5.32 | 3 | 8 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 18 | 27.2 | 25 | 1.30 | 0 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz
- Wentz (1-5) takes the mound first for the Tigers in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 7.28 ERA in 47 2/3 innings pitched, with 40 strikeouts.
- In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, the left-hander tossed 4 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
- Wentz enters the game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Wentz’s starts this season, and they went 6-6 in those matchups.
- Wentz’s team has a 5-6 record over his 11 starts.
- Wentz’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 12 games with a set total this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 25 | 25.1 | 21 | 1.42 | 10 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 24 | 24.2 | 35 | 2.55 | 1 | 10 |
| José Cisnero | 22 | 21 | 20 | 3.00 | 5 | 1 |
| Chasen Shreve | 21 | 20.2 | 19 | 5.23 | 7 | 0 |
| Will Vest | 17 | 21 | 22 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have hit two or more homers in 17 games this season, and are 11-6 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has gone 12-4 in its 16 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 41 times this season, and has a 24-17 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 21-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies are 14-5 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 11 games this season and are 7-4 in those matchups.
- In seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 6-1.
- In 32 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 25-7.
- In 25 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 22-3.
- In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-7
Phillies vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-244)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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