Padres vs. Cubs Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 4, 2023

The San Diego Padres (27-31) meet the Chicago Cubs (25-32) a game after Fernando Tatis Jr. homered twice in a 6-0 victory over the Cubs. The game begins at 5:30 PM ET on Sunday.

The Padres are favored (-109) in a projected tight game against the Cubs (-108). The contest has a set total of 9.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of June 4, 2023 at 5:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Cubs Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -109 -108 9

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 19 out of the 37 games, or 51.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Diego has a record of 19-19 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -109 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 52.2%.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 58 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 28-30-0 against the spread in their 58 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 13
ERA 3.10
K/9 8.7

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been victorious in 12, or 41.4%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has been victorious 12 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 29 of its 57 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 57 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 30-27-0 against the spread.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.3
HR 6
ERA 4.65
K/9 8.2

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Padres or Cubs, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Padres Probable Pitcher – Ryan Weathers

  • When Weathers starts, his team is 2-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in four innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Tuesday.
  • In six starts this season, Weathers has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • Weathers’ team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Weathers’ team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Weathers have a 2-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Steven Wilson 25 28 31 2.57 10 0
Tim Hill 25 24 15 3.75 6 0
Josh Hader 23 22.1 32 1.61 0 13
Brent Honeywell Jr. 20 30.2 29 3.52 3 0
Nick Martínez 15 47.2 39 2.64 5 1

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • Stroman (5-4) takes the mound first for the Cubs in his 13th start of the season. He has a 2.59 ERA in 73 2/3 innings pitched, with 62 strikeouts.
  • The righty last appeared on Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he tossed nine scoreless innings while giving up one hit.
  • Stroman will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
  • The Cubs are 3-3 in Stroman’s six starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Stroman’s team has put together a 6-6 record over his 12 starts.
  • Stroman has started 12 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Fulmer 23 23.1 27 6.94 3 1
Mark Leiter Jr. 22 23.2 36 2.66 9 3
Julian Merryweather 22 23 30 4.30 1 0
Adbert Alzolay 20 28 27 2.25 7 2
Brandon Hughes 12 12 16 4.50 1 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have an 11-14 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • San Diego is 9-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits in 28 games this season, and is 20-8 in those contests.
  • San Diego has a 22-3 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Padres are 16-9 in the 25 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 21 games this season and are 10-11 in those matchups.
  • In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
  • In 41 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-13.
  • Chicago has won 20 of its 26 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 10-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy