The Cleveland Guardians (26-32) visit the Minnesota Twins (31-28) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Twins are a home favorite (-149) against the Guardians (+126). The over/under for this game is 7.5.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 4, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -149 | +126 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 36 times this season and won 24, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Minnesota has entered 18 games this season favored by -149 or more and is 11-7 in those contests.
- The Twins have a 59.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of its 59 games with a total this season.
- The Twins are 28-31-0 ATS in their 59 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.40 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in 11, or 42.3%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has a win-loss record of 3-2 when favored by +126 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of its 58 opportunities.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 27-31-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan
- Ryan’s team is 7-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed four hits in four innings against the Houston Astros.
- In 11 starts this season, Ryan has lasted five or more innings 10 times, with an average of 5.9 innings per appearance.
- When Ryan starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-3.
- Ryan’s team has a 7-4 record in his starts this season.
- In Ryan’s 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 25 | 24.1 | 27 | 4.07 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 25 | 24 | 21 | 4.50 | 6 | 3 |
| Jovani Moran | 21 | 25 | 28 | 3.60 | 6 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 21 | 23 | 32 | 1.17 | 0 | 8 |
| Emilio Pagán | 20 | 24.1 | 23 | 4.07 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Triston McKenzie
- McKenzie will make his first start of the season for the Guardians.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, Oct. 15, the 25-year-old righty started and went five innings against the New York Yankees.
- McKenzie and his team put together a 9-4 record in the 13 games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- His team had a 21-11 record when he pitched in last season.
- In 32 opportunities with a run total set by oddsmakers last season, the games he pitched in went over 14 times.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 27 | 28 | 22 | 3.21 | 0 | 18 |
| James Karinchak | 26 | 24.2 | 34 | 4.01 | 11 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 2.96 | 8 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 23 | 22 | 18 | 1.64 | 3 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 20 | 23.1 | 25 | 1.93 | 2 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit two or more home runs in 33 games this season, and are 28-5 in those contests.
- Minnesota is undefeated in its 20 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits in 41 games this season, and is 33-8 in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 34-3 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins are 15-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in eight games this season and are 6-2 in those matchups.
- In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-4.
- They have won 15 of the 31 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 16 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 11-5.
- They have won nine of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-149)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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