The Cincinnati Reds (26-32) will try to snap a three-game losing streak when hosting the Milwaukee Brewers (31-27) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The favored Reds (-120 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Brewers (+102). The total in the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 4, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -120 | +102 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been favorites in 12 games this season and won six (50%) of those contests.
- Cincinnati has entered nine games this season favored by -120 or more and is 5-4 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Games involving Cincinnati has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 58 chances this season.
- The Reds are 35-23-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have come away with 14 wins in the 27 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Milwaukee has won 13 of 25 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 25 of 58 chances this season.
- The Brewers have posted a record of 27-31-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.20 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Ben Lively
- Lively’s team is 3-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander allowed four hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday.
- Lively has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- This will be Lively’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Lively’s team has won three of his four starts this season.
- In games Lively has started this season, the teams are 2-2-0 at hitting the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 24 | 26.1 | 22 | 3.76 | 5 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 24 | 22.2 | 28 | 2.78 | 8 | 0 |
| Buck Farmer | 23 | 28 | 25 | 2.57 | 3 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 21 | 22.1 | 41 | 1.61 | 1 | 13 |
| Lucas Sims | 17 | 18.1 | 23 | 3.93 | 5 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- Houser (1-1 with a 4.07 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his sixth of the season.
- The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up 11 hits.
- Houser has pitched five or more innings in a game two times this year heading into this game.
- The Brewers are 2-2 in Houser’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Houser’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Houser has had five starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those outings.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 25 | 25.2 | 24 | 3.86 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 24 | 27.1 | 31 | 2.30 | 8 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 23 | 20.2 | 17 | 3.92 | 4 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 18 | 19.2 | 26 | 0.46 | 0 | 10 |
| Bryse Wilson | 18 | 31.1 | 24 | 2.30 | 2 | 3 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have a 12-2 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Cincinnati has gone 13-4 in its 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits in 47 games this season, and is 31-16 in those contests.
- Cincinnati has a 33-6 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Reds are 8-16 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 27 of the 32 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in four games this season and won each of them.
- In 30 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-6.
- Milwaukee has won 31 of its 33 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 16 of their 22 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Reds vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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