Cardinals vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 3, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (30-27) take a four-game winning streak into a contest versus the St. Louis Cardinals (25-34), at 11:35 AM ET on Sunday.

The Cardinals are favored (-147 moneyline odds) when they visit the Pirates (+125). The total for this game is 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 4, 2023 at 11:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -147 +125 8.5

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cardinals have been favored 35 times and won 16, or 45.7%, of those games.
  • St. Louis is 8-11 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 30 of 59 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals have an ATS record of 23-36-0 in 59 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 12
ERA 4.29
K/9 8.1

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 44 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (47.7%) in those contests.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won 11 of 24 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 28 of its 57 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates have posted a record of 31-26-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 13
ERA 5.22
K/9 9.2

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas’ team is 6-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he allowed three hits in eight scoreless innings against the Kansas City Royals.
  • Mikolas will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • Mikolas’ team is 6-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Mikolas’ team is 8-4 when he starts this season.
  • Games Mikolas has started this season hit the over seven times in 12 chances.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 24 26.2 29 4.39 7 0
Jordan Hicks 21 23 36 4.30 5 0
Giovanny Gallegos 21 23.1 22 3.86 4 7
Chris Stratton 21 32 36 3.66 1 0
Ryan Helsley 19 23 29 3.52 2 6

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill

  • Hill (4-5 with a 4.91 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 58 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his 12th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Monday, the lefty tossed six innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Hill will look to prolong a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance).
  • The Pirates are 3-5 in Hill’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Hill’s team has a 5-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Hill has started 11 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Dauri Moreta 23 26.2 37 1.69 2 1
David Bednar 22 23 29 1.17 0 12
Colin Holderman 22 22 26 2.86 12 0
Jose Hernandez 20 24.1 23 2.22 3 0
Duane Underwood Jr. 19 24.1 14 5.18 3 2

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals have racked up two or more dingers in 31 games this season, and are 22-9 in those outings.
  • St. Louis is 20-3 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 44 games this season, and is 28-16 in those contests.
  • St. Louis is 25-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cardinals have gone 8-12 in the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They are 15-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-1.
  • In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 21-7.
  • In 21 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 19-2.
  • They have won 11 of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+125)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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