Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 3, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (32-27) bring a three-game winning streak into a home contest versus the New York Mets (30-29), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.

The Mets are favored (-143 moneyline odds) when they take the field at home against the Blue Jays (+121). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of June 4, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -143 +121 8.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 45 games this season and won 24 (53.3%) of those contests.
  • New York has a record of 14-15, a 48.3% win rate, when favored by -143 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 58.8% chance to win.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of 60 opportunities.
  • The Mets are 23-37-0 ATS in their 60 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 3.41
K/9 9.4

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been victorious in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Toronto has been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of its 59 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 59 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 29-30-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 10
ERA 3.10
K/9 10.9

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga

  • Senga’s team is 5-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies while allowing one hit.
  • Senga has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • When Senga starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-2.
  • Senga’s team has won seven of his 10 starts this season.
  • Out of Senga’s 10 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 25 23 23 3.91 7 5
David Robertson 23 25.2 32 1.75 5 10
Brooks Raley 23 19.2 22 2.75 13 1
Drew Smith 22 19.2 23 3.66 7 2
Jeff Brigham 19 20.1 24 3.98 4 0

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 12th of the season. He is 6-2 with a 4.47 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Kikuchi will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
  • The Blue Jays are 2-1 in Kikuchi’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Kikuchi’s team has an 8-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Kikuchi has started 11 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 27 20 20 1.80 5 1
Erik Swanson 26 27.2 34 2.93 13 1
Yimi Garcia 25 24.2 30 6.20 7 0
Jordan Romano 23 23 29 3.13 1 14
Anthony Bass 20 19 19 4.26 1 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have hit two or more homers in 16 games this season, and are 9-7 in those contests.
  • New York is 5-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits in 34 games this season, and is 23-11 in those contests.
  • New York has a 24-8 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Mets have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 7-4 in those contests.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They have won 11 of the 17 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Toronto has gone 8-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 36 of the 53 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Toronto has a 26-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won seven of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (+121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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