The Philadelphia Phillies (26-32) visit the Washington Nationals (25-33) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Phillies are favored (-160 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Nationals (+137). The total for this game is set at 9.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of June 4, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -160 | +137 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 33 times this season and won 16, or 48.5%, of those games.
- Philadelphia is 6-6 this season when entering a game favored by -160 or more on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of 58 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 25-33-0 against the spread in their 58 chances this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.98 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 55 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (41.8%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has been victorious 15 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of its 58 opportunities.
- In 58 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 35-23-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez and his team have a record of 2-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Suarez has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Suarez’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Suarez’s team is 2-2 when he starts this season.
- Games Suarez has started this season hit the over two times in four chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 26 | 22 | 23 | 3.68 | 7 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 26 | 24 | 27 | 5.25 | 9 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 24 | 22 | 33 | 5.32 | 3 | 8 |
| Connor Brogdon | 24 | 28 | 24 | 3.54 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 18 | 27.2 | 25 | 1.30 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- The Nationals will send Williams (2-3) to the mound for his 12th start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 3.93 ERA and 40 strikeouts through 55 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up no earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Williams will try to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing.
- The Nationals have a 6-5 record in Williams’ 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team has won six of his 11 starts.
- Williams has had 11 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and three of those matchups finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 26 | 24.2 | 20 | 3.28 | 12 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 25 | 27 | 33 | 3.33 | 11 | 3 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 23 | 23.2 | 26 | 4.56 | 3 | 11 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 22 | 26.1 | 13 | 5.81 | 2 | 0 |
| Mason Thompson | 21 | 28.2 | 24 | 4.08 | 2 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 10-6 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Philadelphia has collected five or more extra-base hits in 15 games this season, and has gone 11-4 in those outings.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 40 times this season, and has a 23-17 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 20-4 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 13-5 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 7-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won nine of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 22-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 17-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won seven of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+137)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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