Eddie Rosario leads the Atlanta Braves (33-24) into a matchup versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (35-23) after his two-homer performance in a 3-2 defeat to the Diamondbacks. It starts at 10:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Braves are heavily favored (-221 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Diamondbacks (+186). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 3, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -221 | +186 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 28, or 58.3%, of the 48 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 9-2 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -221 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 68.8%.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 31 of 57 chances this season.
- The Braves are 24-33-0 ATS in their 57 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have come away with 18 wins in the 32 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Arizona has won two of three games when listed as at least +186 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 35% chance of walking away with the win.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 27 of its 58 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 35-23-0 against the spread in their 58 games that had a posted line this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 4-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up two earned runs while allowing two hits.
- Strider has pitched five or more innings in 11 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Strider’s team has been victorious in 81.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-2.
- Strider’s team is 9-2 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Strider have a 9-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 26 | 25.2 | 32 | 6.66 | 1 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 23 | 24 | 28 | 1.87 | 11 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 21 | 23.1 | 28 | 3.47 | 9 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 19 | 18.1 | 24 | 4.42 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 18 | 19.1 | 25 | 3.26 | 3 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson
- The Diamondbacks are sending Nelson (2-2) to the mound for his 12th start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 5.37 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 57 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Monday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Colorado Rockies, allowing five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Nelson will try to build upon a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
- The Diamondbacks are 3-3 in Nelson’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Nelson’s team has put together a 5-6 record in his 11 starts.
- Nelson has had 11 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those matchups finished over the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 24 | 29.2 | 35 | 3.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Miguel Castro | 24 | 25.1 | 22 | 2.13 | 8 | 6 |
| Andrew Chafin | 23 | 20.1 | 31 | 3.10 | 6 | 8 |
| Kyle Nelson | 23 | 22 | 28 | 2.86 | 6 | 0 |
| José Ruiz | 22 | 26 | 25 | 6.23 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have put up two or more homers in 27 games this season, and are 18-9 in those outings.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its 12 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 26-13 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Atlanta is 26-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 10-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 25 games this season and are 19-6 in those matchups.
- Arizona has gone 14-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 35 of the 45 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 34-6.
- They have a 11-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+186)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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