The Boston Red Sox (29-27) and Tampa Bay Rays (40-18) clash on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET, beginning a four-game series at Fenway Park.
The Rays are road underdogs (+102) versus the Red Sox (-121). The total for this game is set at 9.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 3, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -121 | +102 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won 13, or 54.2%, of the 24 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Boston is 9-7 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of 56 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 30-26-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.71 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have come away with four wins in the seven contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Tampa Bay has won one of four games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 34 of 58 chances this season.
- The Rays are 34-24-0 against the spread in their 58 games that had a posted line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Garrett Whitlock
- Whitlock and his team are 2-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Whitlock’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- In games Whitlock has started, his team is 2-2.
- In Whitlock’s four starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 19 | 34.2 | 26 | 2.08 | 7 | 2 |
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 21 | 18 | 7.29 | 1 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 16 | 16.2 | 18 | 3.24 | 0 | 11 |
| Chris Martin | 16 | 15.2 | 11 | 1.72 | 9 | 0 |
| Kutter Crawford | 8 | 30.2 | 30 | 3.52 | 2 | 0 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Trevor Kelley
- The Rays are sending Kelley (0-1) to the mound to make his fourth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA and six strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Wednesday, when he threw scoreless two-thirds of an inning against the Chicago Cubs while giving up two hits.
- The Rays were the moneyline underdog for two Kelley starts this season — they split the games.
- Kelley’s team has a 2-1 record over his three starts.
- Kelley has started three games with a set total this season — his team has gone over in each of them.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 23 | 23.1 | 33 | 3.09 | 6 | 6 |
| Colin Poche | 22 | 19.2 | 12 | 2.29 | 7 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 21 | 26 | 19 | 4.15 | 6 | 2 |
| Jake Diekman | 21 | 17 | 16 | 7.41 | 4 | 0 |
| Jalen Beeks | 14 | 28.1 | 27 | 4.45 | 2 | 1 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox are 13-8 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Boston is 11-8 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 22-19 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Boston is 25-8 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox are 10-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They have won 25 of the 34 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has gone 20-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 32-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Tampa Bay has a 33-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-3
Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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