Luis Garcia carries a two-game homer streak into the Washington Nationals’ (25-32) game against the Philadelphia Phillies (25-32) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday, at Nationals Park.
The Phillies are a tight favorite (-109 to win on the moneyline) when they play the Nationals (-108). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of June 3, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -109 | -108 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 33 times and won 16, or 48.5%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 17-18, a 48.6% win rate, when favored by -109 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 52.2% chance to win.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 25 of its 57 chances.
- The Phillies are 24-33-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.19 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 55 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (41.8%) in those games.
- Washington has a mark of 23-32 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of its 57 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 57 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 35-22-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.17 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Matt Strahm
- Strahm and his team are 2-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Thursday when he threw two innings out of the bullpen against the New York Mets, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
- Strahm has made three starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 2.6 frames when he pitches.
- Strahm and his team have lost each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Strahm’s team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games Strahm has started this season hit the over three times in six chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 25 | 23 | 27 | 5.48 | 8 | 1 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 25 | 21 | 23 | 3.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 24 | 28 | 24 | 3.54 | 3 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 23 | 21 | 32 | 5.57 | 3 | 7 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 17 | 26.2 | 24 | 1.35 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore (3-3) takes the mound first for the Nationals in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.57 ERA in 58 2/3 innings pitched, with 74 strikeouts.
- In his last outing on Sunday against the Kansas City Royals, the lefty threw seven innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Gore will look to pick up his eighth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
- The Nationals are 3-8 in Gore’s 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gore’s team has won three of his 11 starts.
- Gore has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those matchups.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 26 | 24.2 | 20 | 3.28 | 12 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 25 | 27 | 33 | 3.33 | 11 | 3 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 23 | 23.2 | 26 | 4.56 | 3 | 11 |
| Mason Thompson | 21 | 28.2 | 24 | 4.08 | 2 | 1 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 21 | 25.1 | 13 | 5.68 | 2 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 10-6 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Philadelphia has gone 11-4 in its 15 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 39 times this season, and has a 22-17 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 20-4 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 13-5 over the 18 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won seven of the 11 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won nine of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 22-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 17-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 7-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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