The Milwaukee Brewers (29-27) visit the Cincinnati Reds (26-30) in NL Central play, at 5:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Reds play as a home underdog (+143) versus the Brewers (-167). The game’s total is set at 10.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of June 2, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -167 | +143 | 10 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 15, or 51.7%, of the 29 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee is 3-2 this season when entering a game favored by -167 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of 56 games with a total.
- The Brewers are 26-30-0 against the spread in their 56 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 20 wins in the 44 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 7-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +143 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 56 chances this season.
- The Reds are 34-22-0 against the spread in their 56 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 4-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in seven innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Saturday.
- Burnes will look to finish five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
- When Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-5.
- Burnes’ team is 5-6 when he starts this season.
- In Burnes’ 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 24 | 24.2 | 22 | 4.01 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 23 | 26.1 | 29 | 2.39 | 8 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 23 | 20.2 | 17 | 3.92 | 4 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 16 | 17.2 | 22 | 0.51 | 0 | 9 |
| Bryse Wilson | 16 | 28.1 | 24 | 2.54 | 2 | 2 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- Williamson (0-0 with a 5.02 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 14 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his fourth of the season.
- In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, the lefty tossed 4 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Williamson is looking to pick up his second start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- The Reds have played as the moneyline underdog for three of Williamson’s starts this season, and they won every time.
- Williamson’s three starts have all been wins for his team this season.
- Williamson has had three starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and two of those matchups finished over the total.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 24 | 26.1 | 22 | 3.76 | 5 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 23 | 22 | 26 | 2.86 | 8 | 0 |
| Buck Farmer | 22 | 27.2 | 25 | 2.60 | 3 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 20 | 21.1 | 41 | 1.69 | 1 | 13 |
| Lucas Sims | 16 | 17.1 | 21 | 4.15 | 5 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have put up at least two long balls in 31 games this season, and are 26-5 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has put up at least five extra-base hits in four games this season, and won each time.
- The club is 23-6 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee is 29-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 15-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won 12 of the 14 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-4.
- In 46 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-15.
- In 38 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-5.
- They have a 8-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+143)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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