Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 2, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-18) visit the Boston Red Sox (29-27) in AL East play, at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.

The Red Sox (+121 underdog on the moneyline) take the field at home against the Rays (-142). The game’s total is set at 9.5.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of June 2, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -142 +121 9.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 36, or 70.6%, of the 51 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 34 games this season favored by -142 or more and is 28-6 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of 58 games with a total.
  • The Rays are 34-24-0 ATS in their 58 games with a spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 12
ERA 5.22
K/9 8.7

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won in 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Boston has a mark of 11-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of its 56 opportunities.
  • In 56 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 30-26-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 7
ERA 3.71
K/9 9.3

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow

  • Glasnow helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, throwing 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
  • Glasnow’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Glasnow’s team lost in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Glasnow with a total this season hit the over.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 23 23.1 33 3.09 6 6
Colin Poche 22 19.2 12 2.29 7 1
Jake Diekman 21 17 16 7.41 4 0
Kevin Kelly 21 26 19 4.15 6 2
Jalen Beeks 14 28.1 27 4.45 2 1

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Garrett Whitlock

  • Whitlock makes the start for the Red Sox, his fifth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 15 strikeouts through 21 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • Whitlock is looking to secure his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for two Whitlock starts this season — they lost both.
  • Whitlock’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Whitlock’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of four contests.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Josh Winckowski 19 34.2 26 2.08 7 2
Ryan Brasier 18 21 18 7.29 1 1
Kenley Jansen 16 16.2 18 3.24 0 11
Chris Martin 16 15.2 11 1.72 9 0
Kutter Crawford 8 30.2 30 3.52 2 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have a 25-9 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
  • Tampa Bay is 20-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 32-18 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
  • Tampa Bay has a 33-13 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 17 games this season, and are 14-3 in those contests.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 21 games this season and are 13-8 in those matchups.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-8.
  • In 41 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 22-19.
  • Boston has won 25 of its 33 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 10 of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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