The Minnesota Twins (30-27) and Cleveland Guardians (25-31) meet on Friday at 8:10 PM ET.
The Twins are favored (-134 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at home against the Guardians (+114). The game’s total is 7.5.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 2, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -134 | +114 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 23 out of the 34 games, or 67.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota has a record of 16-9 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- The Twins have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of its 57 games with a total this season.
- The Twins are 28-29-0 ATS in their 57 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (41.7%) in those contests.
- This season, Cleveland has come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 22 of 56 chances this season.
- In 56 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 25-31-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Ober has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Ober’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- Ober’s team is 4-3 when he starts this season.
- The teams have gone under the point total set by sportsbooks in each of the seven games Ober has started this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 25 | 24.1 | 27 | 4.07 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 24 | 23 | 19 | 4.30 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 20 | 21.1 | 29 | 1.27 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 19 | 23.2 | 27 | 3.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 19 | 24 | 23 | 4.12 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- The Guardians will look to Civale (1-1) to open the game and make his third start this season.
- The righty last appeared on Friday, April 7 against the Seattle Mariners, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Civale enters this matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for one Civale start this season — they won.
- His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
- Civale’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 26 | 27 | 20 | 3.33 | 0 | 17 |
| Trevor Stephan | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 2.96 | 8 | 2 |
| James Karinchak | 25 | 23.2 | 32 | 4.18 | 10 | 0 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 22 | 21 | 18 | 1.71 | 2 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 20 | 23.1 | 25 | 1.93 | 2 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have put up at least two homers in 33 games this season, and are 28-5 in those outings.
- Minnesota has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and won each time.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 40 games this season, and is 33-7 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 34-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 24 games this season, and are 15-9 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 5-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-4.
- They have a record of 14-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cleveland has a 11-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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