Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Atlanta Braves (33-23) into a matchup with Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and the Arizona Diamondbacks (34-23) at Chase Field, on Friday at 9:40 PM ET. Acuna is at .324, the fourth-best average in the league, while Gurriel ranks 10th at .309.
The Braves are favored away from home (-119) versus the Diamondbacks (+101). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 2, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -119 | +101 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 47 times this season and won 28, or 59.6%, of those games.
- This season Atlanta has won 27 of its 43 games, or 62.8%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of 56 opportunities.
- The Braves are 24-32-0 ATS in their 56 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have come away with 17 wins in the 31 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win 14 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 27 of its 57 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 34-23-0 against the spread in their 57 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton
- Morton’s team is 5-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Morton has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Morton’s team has a record of 5-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Morton’s team has won five of his 10 starts this season.
- In games Morton has started this season, the teams are 6-4-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 26 | 25.2 | 32 | 6.66 | 1 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 23 | 24 | 28 | 1.87 | 11 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 21 | 23.1 | 28 | 3.47 | 9 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 19 | 18.1 | 24 | 4.42 | 2 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 18 | 19.1 | 25 | 3.26 | 3 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his 12th of the season. He is 6-3 with a 2.83 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 63 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, the righty tossed 6 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Kelly will try to go five or more innings for his 11th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing.
- The Diamondbacks are 2-3 in Kelly’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Kelly’s 11 starts, his team is 7-4.
- Kelly has started 11 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 24 | 29.2 | 35 | 3.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Kyle Nelson | 23 | 22 | 28 | 2.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 23 | 24.1 | 22 | 2.22 | 8 | 5 |
| Andrew Chafin | 23 | 20.1 | 31 | 3.10 | 6 | 8 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 22 | 25.1 | 23 | 3.20 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 18-8 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
- Atlanta has won each of its 12 games this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 26-13 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 26-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 10-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 25 games this season and are 19-6 in those matchups.
- Arizona has gone 14-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 35 of the 45 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Arizona has won 34 of its 40 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-11
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+101)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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