Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 1, 2023

Keibert Ruiz takes a two-game homer streak into the Washington Nationals’ (24-32) game against the Philadelphia Phillies (25-31) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Nationals Park.

As the favorite, the Phillies (-190 on the moneyline to win) play at the Nationals (+160). The game’s total is set at 9.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of June 2, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -190 +160 9

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won 16, or 50%, of the 32 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 4-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -190 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 65.5% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of 56 games with a total.
  • The Phillies are 24-32-0 against the spread in their 56 chances this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 8
ERA 4.71
K/9 7.6

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been victorious in 22, or 40.7%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 9-11 when favored by +160 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 38.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Washington’s games have gone over the total in 26 of its 56 opportunities.
  • In 56 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 34-22-0 against the spread.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 12
ERA 4.86
K/9 8.7

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler’s team is 6-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw eight scoreless innings against the Atlanta Braves while allowing three hits.
  • Wheeler will look to finish five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
  • Wheeler’s team is 4-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Wheeler has started, his team is 6-5.
  • Out of Wheeler’s 11 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Seranthony Domínguez 25 21 23 3.86 6 0
Gregory Soto 25 23 27 5.48 8 1
Craig Kimbrel 23 21 32 5.57 3 7
Connor Brogdon 23 27 23 3.33 3 0
Andrew Vasquez 16 25.1 22 1.42 0 0

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray

  • Gray makes the start for the Nationals, his 12th of the season. He is 4-5 with a 2.77 ERA and 51 strikeouts over 61 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander went four innings against the Kansas City Royals, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Gray is looking to record his 11th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • The Nationals have a 4-6 record in Gray’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Gray’s team has won five of his 11 starts.
  • Gray’s starts went over the run total four times in 11 games with a set total this season.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carl Edwards Jr. 25 23.2 18 2.66 12 1
Hunter Harvey 24 26.1 32 3.42 10 3
Kyle Finnegan 22 22 25 4.91 3 11
Erasmo Ramírez 21 25.1 13 5.68 2 0
Mason Thompson 20 28.1 24 4.13 1 1

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have a 10-5 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
  • Philadelphia has gone 11-3 in its 14 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits in 38 games this season, and is 22-16 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 20-3 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 18 games this season, and are 13-5 in those contests.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They are 7-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-1.
  • They have a record of 21-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Washington has a 16-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won seven of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+160)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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