Padres vs. Cubs Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 1, 2023

The San Diego Padres (26-30) will look for continued power from a hitter on a roll versus the Chicago Cubs (24-31) on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park. Gary Sanchez is riding a two-game homer streak.

The Padres are favored at home (-170) against the Cubs (+145). The game’s over/under is 8.5.

The insights in the following article reflect odds as of June 2, 2023 at 9:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Cubs Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -170 +145 8.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 35 times this season and won 18, or 51.4%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 8-8 this season when entering a game favored by -170 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 63% chance to win.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 56 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 27-29-0 against the spread in their 56 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 16
ERA 3.31
K/9 7.8

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have come away with 11 wins in the 27 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Chicago has won three of six games when listed as at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 40.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 29 of 55 chances this season.
  • In 55 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 29-26-0 against the spread.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 9
ERA 4.35
K/9 8.4

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha

  • Wacha’s team is 8-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Wacha has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Wacha’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Wacha’s team is 7-3 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Wacha have a 3-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 24 22.2 14 3.97 6 0
Steven Wilson 24 26.1 29 2.73 10 0
Josh Hader 23 22.1 32 1.61 0 13
Brent Honeywell Jr. 19 29.2 28 3.64 3 0
Nick Martínez 14 46.2 37 2.70 4 1

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon

  • Taillon gets the start for the Cubs, his ninth of the season. He is 0-3 with an 8.04 ERA and 32 strikeouts through 31 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Taillon is looking to collect his third start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • The Cubs were the moneyline underdog for three Taillon starts this season — they lost each time.
  • Taillon’s eight starts have all ended in a loss for his team this season.
  • Taillon’s starts went over the run total six times in eight games with a set total this season.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Fulmer 22 22 25 7.36 3 1
Julian Merryweather 21 22.1 28 4.43 0 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 21 22.2 33 2.78 9 2
Adbert Alzolay 19 27 26 2.33 6 2
Brandon Hughes 11 11.1 15 4.76 0 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres are 10-14 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
  • San Diego is 8-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 19-8 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
  • San Diego is 21-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 15-9 over the 24 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They have won 10 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
  • In 41 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-13.
  • In 26 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 20-6.
  • They have a 9-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-170)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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