Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 1, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (29-27) and Texas Rangers (35-20) clash in AL West play, on Friday at 8:05 PM ET.

A projected tight matchup features the Mariners (-113 moneyline odds to win) against the Rangers (-105). The total for this game is set at 8.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of June 2, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -113 -105 8

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have won 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle has a record of 23-17, a 57.5% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 53.1% chance to win.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of 56 opportunities.
  • The Mariners are 26-30-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 13
ERA 3.82
K/9 9.7

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (59.1%) in those games.
  • Texas has a win-loss record of 10-9 when favored by -105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of its 55 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rangers have an against the spread mark of 36-19-0 in 55 games with a line this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 11
ERA 2.90
K/9 7.9

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo

  • Castillo’s team is 4-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander allowed one hit in six scoreless innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday.
  • Castillo has 11 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Castillo’s team has a record of 6-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Castillo’s team has a 6-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Castillo’s 11 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 26 21.2 42 4.57 5 1
Paul Sewald 25 24.1 33 2.96 0 11
Trevor Gott 25 25.2 30 1.75 7 0
Gabe Speier 24 19.1 17 2.79 7 0
Justin Topa 23 21.2 22 3.32 10 1

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray

  • Gray makes the start for the Rangers, his 11th of the season. He is 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 46 strikeouts through 57 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, May 26, the right-hander went seven innings against the Baltimore Orioles, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • Gray is looking for his eighth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 innings per start.
  • The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 4-1 in those matchups.
  • In Gray’s 10 starts, his team is 6-4.
  • Gray has had 10 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those matchups finished over the total.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jonathan Hernández 22 21 21 5.57 8 0
Will Smith 18 19 23 3.32 4 9
Brock Burke 18 23 17 3.13 7 0
José Leclerc 17 16.1 16 3.31 1 1
Cole Ragans 13 21 21 5.57 2 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have a 13-5 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Seattle is 5-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 22-14 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
  • Seattle has a 28-6 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mariners are 18-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 21 of the 26 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-9.
  • They have won 38 of the 51 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Texas has a 35-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-9

Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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