The Toronto Blue Jays (29-27) host the Milwaukee Brewers (29-26) at 1:07 PM ET on Thursday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Brewers are an away underdog (+158) against the Blue Jays (-186). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of June 1, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -186 | +158 | 8 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have won 17 out of the 33 games, or 51.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Toronto has a record of 5-4, a 55.6% win rate, when favored by -186 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 23 of its 48 chances.
- The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 23-25-0 in 48 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (50%) in those games.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win one times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +158 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 48 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 48 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 21-27-0 against the spread.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman
- Gausman’s team is 2-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Minnesota Twins.
- Gausman will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- Gausman’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Gausman’s team has a 5-6 record in his starts this season.
- In games Gausman has started this season, the teams are 4-5-0 at hitting the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 26 | 19.2 | 19 | 1.83 | 4 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 25 | 24.2 | 30 | 6.20 | 7 | 0 |
| Erik Swanson | 24 | 25.1 | 33 | 3.20 | 12 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 21 | 21 | 27 | 3.00 | 1 | 12 |
| Anthony Bass | 20 | 19 | 19 | 4.26 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta (5-4) gets the starting nod for the Brewers in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.64 ERA in 54 1/3 innings pitched, with 58 strikeouts.
- The righty’s last time out came on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when he went 2 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Peralta has put together nine starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- The Brewers were named the moneyline underdog for two Peralta starts this season — they split the games.
- Peralta’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
- Peralta has had nine starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those outings finished over the total.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 24 | 24.2 | 22 | 4.01 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 23 | 26.1 | 29 | 2.39 | 8 | 1 |
| Hoby Milner | 23 | 20.2 | 17 | 3.92 | 4 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 16 | 17.2 | 22 | 0.51 | 0 | 9 |
| Bryse Wilson | 16 | 28.1 | 24 | 2.54 | 2 | 2 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have put up at least two homers in 15 games this season, and are 9-6 in those outings.
- Toronto has racked up five or more extra-base hits in nine games this season, and has gone 8-1 in those outings.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 50 games this season, and is 33-17 in those contests.
- Toronto is 26-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have gone 6-5 in the 11 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 26-5 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in four games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 23 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 31 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 29-2.
- They have a 15-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-186)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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