The New York Mets (29-27) aim to sweep a three-game series versus the Philadelphia Phillies (25-30), at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The Mets are favored at home (-185) against the Phillies (+157). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of June 1, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -185 | +157 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 38 times and won 20, or 52.6%, of those games.
- New York has entered 14 games this season favored by -185 or more and is 6-8 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 64.9% chance to win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 22 of its 49 chances.
- The Mets are 16-33-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.87 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have come away with seven wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Philadelphia has played as an underdog of +157 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Philadelphia has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 21 of 48 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 21-27-0 against the spread in their 48 games that had a posted line this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer and his team are 4-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Saturday.
- Scherzer has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Scherzer’s team has a record of 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Scherzer’s team has a 6-2 record in his starts this season.
- In games Scherzer has started this season, the teams are 3-3-0 at hitting the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 24 | 21.1 | 22 | 4.22 | 7 | 5 |
| David Robertson | 22 | 24.1 | 29 | 1.48 | 5 | 10 |
| Brooks Raley | 21 | 18.1 | 20 | 2.95 | 12 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 20 | 18.1 | 23 | 3.93 | 7 | 1 |
| Jeff Brigham | 17 | 18.1 | 22 | 3.44 | 3 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker gets the start for the Phillies, his 12th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 5.57 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 53 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, when he went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
- Walker is trying for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.8 innings per start.
- The Phillies are 2-1 in Walker’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Walker’s team has a 7-4 record in his 11 starts.
- Walker’s starts went over the run total five times in 10 games with a set total this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 25 | 21 | 23 | 3.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 24 | 22 | 27 | 5.73 | 8 | 1 |
| Connor Brogdon | 23 | 27 | 23 | 3.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 22 | 20 | 32 | 5.85 | 3 | 7 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 16 | 25.1 | 22 | 1.42 | 0 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 9-7 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- New York is 5-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 23-11 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- New York is 24-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 7-4 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They are 10-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-3.
- They have a record of 22-16 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Philadelphia has a 20-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 13 of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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